Even if the research itself is legit, it's a meaningless summary. It just means: we labeled an arbitrary subset of the range of possible outcomes as "worst out

Even if the research itself is legit, it's a meaningless summary. It just means: we labeled an arbitrary subset of the range of possible outcomes as "worst outcome", and ran simulations on a series of hypothetical future economic policies. The first model that crosses into our arbitrary boundary is labeled "acting 11 years from now." I have a hard time appreciating such headlines, when the boring truth is no less terrifying: We're in deep shit, we're constantly dumping more shit into the pool we're in, and every shit we're throwing in now, we will have to pay more later to get out of.