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That was my thesis all summer long, but bond yields have remained stubbornly low and the stock market just had a blowout October even as inflationary pressures
by clavicat 5y ago
That was my thesis all summer long, but bond yields have remained stubbornly low and the stock market just had a blowout October even as inflationary pressures picked up amidst the Evergrande crisis and the debt-ceiling crisis. I’ve given up thinking that there is anything that can bring down this market and will no longer fight the trend.
- mellavora 5y agowell, maybe the capitulation of the bears could bring it down...
- anm89 5y agoI think you may be slightly misunderstanding his take. I don't think he would argue this bubble is going to pop. Maybe increased volatility with a couple "events" but not a nominal pop. The bubble will pop through sustained inflation. The S&p will be up 100% while the dollar will have lost 60% of it's value over 5 years. From a metrics perspective the bubble is gone at that point. So yeah, after 10 years of thinking bubbles were about to pop I'm finally on the "this is the exception" this market is never coming down team. It really is politically infeasible for it to move in any other direction while it's totally politically feasible to print money and maintain high nominal values.