4 ms·
The more I read about this subject, the only thing that becomes reinforced is that nobody really knows what the hell is going on with the markets. The inflatio
by l33tbro 5y ago
The more I read about this subject, the only thing that becomes reinforced is that nobody really knows what the hell is going on with the markets. The inflation / deflation debate has been raging on for years now, and it's still not clear what we are experiencing in this virualised economy of ours.
Gun to head? I think it seems that 'inflation' is not really inflation - but a kind of profit tax that seems to be being priced in to charge more for things because everyone else is doing it. A lot of debt was paid down with the stimulus, rents/real estate are frickin skyrocketing, so it's difficult for me to believe that there is a huge surge of demand because everyone is suddenly flush.
As for the the supply chain issues / trade war / materials shortage - again, that doesn't seem to be inflationary or a demand shock, but a temporal supply-side issue not being able to keep up with regular demand as things reboot.
- KETpXDDzR 5y agoYes, the complete system is way too complex to understand. Even the FED admitted that[0]. Especially forecasting anything is very hard and the luck factor is very high. That's why business "science" (not a real science IMO) is only reactive, not proactive. They keep the system running, see it fail, adjust the screws on the machine we call "the market", and try again. [0] https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/01/upshot/inflation-economy-analysis.html https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/01/upshot/inflation-economy-...