4 ms·

Emmanuel Macron's "reelection" you say? I highly doubt it.

by oliv__ 5y ago

glandium 5y ago
I'm a French person living abroad. I hadn't looked at the French political landscape until I recently took a quick look to somewhat prepare for the next presidential elections. And well, it looks like that's how it's going to play out, with no left candidate having any amount of significant popularity, and the extreme right having not one but two candidates that both trump the other candidates on the right. And Macron being the most popular candidate overall. Unless things change significantly in the next 6 months, it's going to be the same second round as 2017.
- di4na 5y ago
  There is one possibility for a different scenario if LR (the historical Right) manage to have a good campaign and a good candidate. 2017 they were cut short by some scandals, but this time maybe... I am not betting too much on it though, cause the past decade of discourse and policies proposition on the french Historical Right have made me go away from them quickly... They are quite detached from reality at this point.
  - glandium 5y ago
    The lineup for LR is not exactly inspiring. I don't see any of them standing a chance (although I don't know Juvin), unfortunately. Really, as I see it, the best case scenario would be Le Pen not being on the second round, but then Macron would still win.
    - di4na 5y ago
      Bertrand is strong in the polls and is known by the voters. Not worse than Fillon last time. Same for Pecresse. So who knows.
southerntofu 5y ago
If you ask people what they actually want, it's highly unlikely Macron would be their top choice. However, given France's broken electoral system, and the manipulation by industry-owned media, it appears our rulers have already planned that the next president will be either Macron, Le Pen, or Eric Zemmour (a famous revisionist supportive of Pétain, who claims women should stay in the kitchen).

4 ms·

Emmanuel Macron's "reelection" you say? I highly doubt it.

by oliv__ 5y ago

Emmanuel Macron's "reelection" you say? I highly doubt it.

glandium 5y ago
I'm a French person living abroad. I hadn't looked at the French political landscape until I recently took a quick look to somewhat prepare for the next presidential elections. And well, it looks like that's how it's going to play out, with no left candidate having any amount of significant popularity, and the extreme right having not one but two candidates that both trump the other candidates on the right. And Macron being the most popular candidate overall. Unless things change significantly in the next 6 months, it's going to be the same second round as 2017.
- di4na 5y ago
  There is one possibility for a different scenario if LR (the historical Right) manage to have a good campaign and a good candidate. 2017 they were cut short by some scandals, but this time maybe... I am not betting too much on it though, cause the past decade of discourse and policies proposition on the french Historical Right have made me go away from them quickly... They are quite detached from reality at this point.
  - glandium 5y ago
    The lineup for LR is not exactly inspiring. I don't see any of them standing a chance (although I don't know Juvin), unfortunately. Really, as I see it, the best case scenario would be Le Pen not being on the second round, but then Macron would still win.
    - di4na 5y ago
      Bertrand is strong in the polls and is known by the voters. Not worse than Fillon last time. Same for Pecresse. So who knows.
southerntofu 5y ago
If you ask people what they actually want, it's highly unlikely Macron would be their top choice. However, given France's broken electoral system, and the manipulation by industry-owned media, it appears our rulers have already planned that the next president will be either Macron, Le Pen, or Eric Zemmour (a famous revisionist supportive of Pétain, who claims women should stay in the kitchen).