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I see your point. You're operating at a meta-level. If your decision leads you to suffer so much reputational damage that you risk your future ability to even c

I see your point. You're operating at a meta-level. If your decision leads you to suffer so much reputational damage that you risk your future ability to even continue playing the game in the future then all this talk about probabilities is useless. However did that actually happen to Pete Carroll? He's still the Seahawks head coach, yes?

GDC7 5y ago
Yes he is, but how much talent did Seattle lose because players (especially RBs) suddenly weren't so excited to be coached by him? How many extra hours did the coaching stuff had to put into it to get inside players' brains and convince them about everything ranging from playbook, diet, training regime... Financial losses due to fans lost (or not gained)? Also Carrol's own financial losses, how much more could have he gotten for his new contract had he called 4 conventional run plays up the middle? As I said you can win or lose a Super Bowl, but losing by looking like a fool and giving the whole world the impression that you threw it away now puts you in a hole. Seahawks should win 2 or 3 to get themselves out of the reputational hole they sank in.