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> The citizens of this country generally didn’t have to wear face masks; young children continued going to school; leisure activities were largely allowed to co
by eesmith 5y ago
> The citizens of this country generally didn’t have to wear face masks; young children continued going to school; leisure activities were largely allowed to continue unhindered.
As I recall from the news, older children mostly switched to distance learning, large events were canceled, restaurants, museums and the like were shut down or had restricted capacity, and people feeling sick were immediately were given paid sick leave by the government. Hardly the same as no response, nor really comparable to, say, Florida.
In comparison to the "noble experiment" of prohibition, well, the Swedes didn't go that route either - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1922_Swedish_prohibition_referendum https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1922_Swedish_prohibition_refer... - but still put into place a system that those NYC protesters would have likely called "tyrannical" - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bratt_System https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bratt_System .
> Researchers from Uppsala University, the Karolinska Institute and the Royal Institute of Technology in Stockholm produced a model powered by supercomputers that predicted 96,000 Swedes would die before the summer of 2020.
I believe that's https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.11.20062133v1 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.11.20062133v... , a preprint. Note that the 96,000 is without mitigation.
] Our model predicts that, using median infection-fatality-rate estimates, at least 96,000 deaths would occur by 1 July without mitigation. Current policies reduce this number by approximately 15%, while even more aggressive social distancing measures, such as adding household isolation or mandated social distancing can reduce this number by more than 50%.
See also the comments.
- eesmith 5y agoI've looked through that paper a few times, and it's not clear that it's "powered by supercomputers". It used resources from supercomputing centers, but the referenced software appears to use either OpenMP or a GPU on standard hardware, and not a supercomputer. Assuming I read the paper carefully, either I have the wrong citation, or the author didn't read the paper carefully, or the author is exaggerating.