The irony in your post is that you might also be failing to evaluate risk correctly, because you aren't looking at all of the numbers. To continue your analogy

The irony in your post is that you might also be failing to evaluate risk correctly, because you aren't looking at all of the numbers. To continue your analogy: even as a young and healthy man, the additional risk of you being choked by the seatbelt is still _very slightly smaller_ than the risk reduction from you wearing it. See e.g. tables 1-4 of https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/jcvi-statement-september-2021-covid-19-vaccination-of-children-aged-12-to-15-years/jcvi-statement-on-covid-19-vaccination-of-children-aged-12-to-15-years-3-september-2021 https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/jcvi-statement-se..., which give the comparative risks in the 12-15 age group. It is true that the difference in risk is very marginal, and so you might reasonably choose to "price in" some additional uncertainty around vaccine risks, and reasonably choose not to get it. You do also mention that you have survived Covid. I don't have the figures, but I would suspect that also changes the risk calculation in your personal case, in favour of you not getting the vaccine. But please, whatever you do, look at all the numbers before making a decision. Don't just pick and choose those that fit your case.