3 ms·
A longwinded way to say that the health benefits of the vaccine in the 5-11 population are underwhelming. * Cases are irrelevant, in particular because it is w
by angelzen 5y ago
A longwinded way to say that the health benefits of the vaccine in the 5-11 population are underwhelming.
* Cases are irrelevant, in particular because it is well known that VE against infection fades away after about 6 months.
* The article claims "there have been over 1.9 million COVID-19 cases in children ages 5 to 11, with nearly 100 deaths." for a rate of 50 deaths per million.
* The FDA application estimates (unscientifically!) to prevent 1 in a million deaths, see table 14 on page 34. https://www.fda.gov/media/153447/download https://www.fda.gov/media/153447/download
Overall, according to Pfizer's estimates, the vaccine may save 2% of the already minuscule number of kids with a fatal covid risk. The study ran for a whole of 6 months on a population of 2000 kids, obviously all long term consequences have been thoroughly accounted for. Time to rollout the vaccines for tens of million of kids!