4 ms·
> We can't afford more lockdowns and the Israel experience seems to be that vaccines only do so much to slow community spread. - During the spike of infections
by pedrosorio 5y ago
> We can't afford more lockdowns and the Israel experience seems to be that vaccines only do so much to slow community spread.
- During the spike of infections in Israel (which is mostly due to the delta variant) only 58% of the population was fully vaccinated [0] and is still at just 62% currently. Portugal has vaccinated 86% of its population and #cases has only decreased/remained stable since September, despite most measures being relaxed.
- The rate of serious disease among unvaccinated over 60 year olds was nine times more than the rate among fully vaccinated.
- The number of deaths was significantly higher in earlier infection peaks (Sep 2020/Jan 2021) than in the Summer even though the number of cases was much larger
- For those who were vaccinated (Israel managed to do it very early), there is evidence that immunity waned after 6 months, which aided the latest spike. The 3rd shot has been extremely effective as shown by the rapidly declining number of cases [1]
[0] https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2021/08/20/1029628471/highly-vaccinated-israel-is-seeing-a-dramatic-surge-in-new-covid-cases-heres-why https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2021/08/20/1029628...
[1] https://www.timesofisrael.com/israeli-study-covid-booster-shots-92-effective-at-preventing-serious-illness/ https://www.timesofisrael.com/israeli-study-covid-booster-sh...
- glogla 5y agoVery good post. Without accusing the grandparent of anything, "Israel shows that vaccines don't work" is a common misinformation, that is getting people killed day by day. Let's not let it spread.
- soco 5y agoThat, or that mortality was lower than flu. I could understand such lies being spread at the beginning, but today we have about a billion of data points so I can't excuse it anymore.