This doesn't really follow IMO and is a result of deep oversimplifications. Even if you make those simplifications though: If your choices are pre-emptive stri

This doesn't really follow IMO and is a result of deep oversimplifications. Even if you make those simplifications though: If your choices are pre-emptive strike where MAD applies now (near-total destruction) vs. live to 3 months from now, where you have a post-MAD world where one adversary dominates, the post-MAD dominant adversary no longer has the incentive to pre-emptively strike since they aren't worried about a pre-emptive strike from their adversaries since they'd have an effective missile defense system.