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Implications of Delayed Reopening in Controlling the Covid-19 Surge in USA
- ChrisRackauckas 5y agoFor more information on the backstory behind this method of analyses, see the Twitter thread https://twitter.com/ChrisRackauckas/status/1454113155278323718 https://twitter.com/ChrisRackauckas/status/14541131552783237.... Importantly, I want to emphasize that this is about a quantification and not about the policy or ethics. Is X many extra cases and deaths reasonable for requiring masks indoors? For requiring policy Y? Knowing X helps all policy makers understand the true factors at play. Were these actions right or wrong? I don't know, nor do we presume to have an answer. That is a complicated question with ethical components, economics, and other factors. But this can help policy makers quickly get models to make the "correct" decision.
- WalterGR 5y ago"Further, our results demonstrate that in the event of a stricter lockdown without early reopening, the number of active infected cases recorded on 14 July could have been reduced by more than 40% in all states considered, with the actual number of infections reduced being more than 100,000 for the states of Florida and Texas."