We tend to overestimate science and technology progress in short term, while underestimating it in long term. Of course, starship will fail on it's promises and

We tend to overestimate science and technology progress in short term, while underestimating it in long term. Of course, starship will fail on it's promises and artemis program will lag it's schedule and cost of kg to orbit will be 2000$ and not 100$ For next two decades that is. But in 2045 it would be unimaginable to design new rocket not taking in account starship. Starship itself will be on it's 10-th iteration. Everyone: EU, China, Japan will have starship-inspired space launch vehicles. In-orbit refuelling will be finally figured out. That is when slow progress will change thing forever. Not Artemis program, not today.