Have you seen the YouTube video where a waterwheel [1] demonstrates predictable behavior under one set of conditions, but with a small change, the system moves

Have you seen the YouTube video where a waterwheel [1] demonstrates predictable behavior under one set of conditions, but with a small change, the system moves into chaotic behavior? I figure the supply chain is like that. Under certain conditions, JIT is fine. Given sufficient disruptions, the system descends into chaos. Note that we have humans in the loop, too, so expect non-linearities. I could be wrong. Corrections are welcome. [1] https://youtu.be/Lx8gMBJBlP8 https://youtu.be/Lx8gMBJBlP8