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The article is really interesting, but the stress the author expresses about the potential downfall of NASA seems misplaced. This is just creative destruction a
by burlesona 5y ago
The article is really interesting, but the stress the author expresses about the potential downfall of NASA seems misplaced. This is just creative destruction at work. If NASA can adapt to capitalize on the new paradigm, then it will, and there will be NASA logos everywhere in future space stuff. If not, then NASA will fade away, and some of us will wax nostalgic about how cool NASA seemed when we were kids but nobody will really care because humanity will have moved far past the limited space exploration that was possible to-date.
Like most old US government programs, NASA is fully of wasteful political constraints - for instance, facilities scattered around the country and to satisfy pork-barrel politics and get random senators to support the overall program. I think NASA is still a net good, and I'd love to see it adapt, but if it fails to adapt, that probably just means the institutional dysfunction between Congress and NASA administration was too great, and even though it will be a little sad, it will still be a net win for humanity to replace that dysfunction with a new wave of highly functional new players.
- snowwrestler 5y agoNASA, like most government programs, is actually a mission-driven purchasing program. They are not threatened by SpaceX at all. If SpaceX can deliver what NASA needs, NASA will just buy it from SpaceX. See for example: human space flight.
- macintux 5y agoThe problem I have with that analysis is that there’s little commercial value to purely scientific missions. What will we lose if NASA isn’t sending (much bigger!) explorers to all corners of the solar system? Maybe mining companies will pick up some of the slack, maybe that’ll be enough.
- edgyquant 5y agoThere’s a lot of research done today that has no commercial value. Ideally the commercialization of space will make it cheap enough that institutions can fund their own research without needing the government.