Are you saying that the "a year from now" estimate from the commenter is correct merely due to "prior estimates were wrong is no reason to distrust new estimate

Are you saying that the "a year from now" estimate from the commenter is correct merely due to "prior estimates were wrong is no reason to distrust new estimates"? FWIW, I am under the impression that, officially, there aren't even estimates anymore... it will end when it ends and, frankly, if the issue are the people who aren't getting vaccinated, do you think that is changing soon? If anything, aren't we learning that the immunity--even and maybe even particularly the "natural immunity" from having contracted the virus directly--is temporary?