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Because real estate always goes up? The "houses are the greatest investment ever" myth is amazingly persistent.
by paul 18y ago
Because real estate always goes up? The "houses are the greatest investment ever" myth is amazingly persistent.
- dmv 18y agoBecause mortgages remain a great leverage instrument. Find a bank who will lend you 4X your initial deposit with a low fixed (or not...) interest rate, without margin calls, in any other investment vehicles?
- mattmaroon 18y agoIf you find one that will loan it out below what I can get from a CD and somehow make the interest tax deductible, please call me.
- nazgulnarsil 18y agoputting money into a house that maintains its value or even drops slightly is better than paying rent. rent money is gone forever. a mortgage is building equity that you can draw on. plus I don't get how people don't realize that renting out a house to pay its mortgage is basically free money. Someone else is building equity in a house for you and all you have to do is pay the down payment and manage tenants. My personal plan is to buy a house that has something that can be turned into a studio, live in the studio and rent out the main house. I have a feeling this type of situation doesn't go on the market too often for obvious reasons though.
- dmv 18y agoDuplexes sell fairly frequently. For mine, the rent of each unit is greater than the mortgage... As a note, though, home ownership (esp. rental ownership) is more expensive than just the mortgage (and taxes, and utilities). Like any business, there is time and attention required. Like any other depreciating asset, there is also ongoing maintenance costs. And they are not smooth like the income stream. If your rent is $1000 and your monthly payment (mortgage + escrow) is $800, you may be netting $200/mo. Great! But then you have to scramble to find the $10k to replace the roof. Or it takes two months to replace the tenants (there goes 8 months' profits). In the long term, it should work out. Your mortgage + tax payments should increase slower than the monthly rent payment. But renting out a house is not free money.
- nazgulnarsil 18y agoas close to free money as you can get without lucking out I would say. Of course it requires attention and time but it beats pissing money away on rent, especially in silicon valley where rents are more than twice as much as the national average.
- kalid 18y agoI think you're overlooking the interest payments, which are gone forever as well. If you have a 300k mortgage at 6%, you are paying 18k year (1500 month) in interest alone. Yes, there are tax advantages but I think this is negated by property taxes, PMI insurance, etc. Your mortgage payments aren't buying equity in your house.
- johnrob 18y agoI am also skeptical of the conventional wisdom of home ownership. I think a mortgage is simply a way to force yourself to save money. If people save with the same commitment as mortgage payments, even while paying rent, they should end up doing just fine.
- mattmaroon 18y agoThat's not even remotely true. The interest rate for a mortgage right now is a few % points below what the stock market has returned, on average, over the last 50 years. That's not even counting the tax deduction for the interest. A mortgage is basically borrowing money with which to make more money. Your mortgage payment on a place is generally not much more than your rent payment would be, and it's tax deductible and, over time, builds equity. You can't save with the same commitment while paying rent because you have to pay rent.
- nostrademons 18y ago> Your mortgage payment on a place is generally not much more than your rent payment would be This is not true in most of the formerly booming real estate markets in the U.S. My coworker just bought a condo for $500K in Boston. At 6%, his interest payments are $30K/year, or $2500/month. My friends are renting a similar place for $2200/month. I've heard it's worse in California, eg. people paying $3500/month in mortgage payments for houses that rent for $2000 or so. The recent Businessweek article on Merced mentioned homes with $3400/month that the owners walked away from, then out-of-state speculators bought it at a foreclosure auction and are now renting it back to the original owners for $1200/month. > The interest rate for a mortgage right now is a few % points below what the stock market has returned, on average, over the last 50 years. First rule of finance: any truly risk-free profit opportunities will be arbitraged away as soon as large numbers of people become aware of them. That's exactly what happened in the 1990s. People suddenly realized that the stock market, on average, returned higher rates than a 30-year mortgage, so they took out mortgages and invested it in the stock market. As a result, the stock market quadrupled between 1995 and 2000. Then they pulled it out of the stock market and back into real estate between between 2001 and 2005. It's highly unlikely that stock market returns over the next 50 years will match those of the previous 50 years, even with the cratering of the real-estate market.
- mattmaroon 18y agoHe said mortgages were a good investment, not houses. In terms of EV they're pretty high up the list, especially compared to the alternatives (buying the house outright or renting). Nothing always goes up, but over time real estate does pretty well. Plus the tax deduction on the interest rate, and the fact that the APR is lower than what you could get with the money if invested well in other stuff make mortgages so well-worth it that even people who could buy outright almost always take them.
- nazgulnarsil 18y agoand viewing houses as just another investment is amazingly persistent and is the attitude that got us into our present problem in the first place. a mortgage is building equity in a physical asset, stocks are gambling to try to get 10% returns in paper money.
- deleted 18y ago[deleted]
- byrneseyeview 18y agoHow are stocks 'gambling'? Buying a stock is buying a fraction of a business. Is all business ownership gambling? A business is just a group formed to do something too complex for individuals -- are the constituent individuals also a gamble?