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I tought Wright law (experience curve effect ) is related to repetitive manual labor.
by Nokinside 5y ago
I tought Wright law (experience curve effect ) is related to repetitive manual labor.
- bsedlm 5y agoisn't chip making is extremeley repetitive? (though not manual, or maybe we could say manual but through extermely complex tools?)
- Nokinside 5y agoMachines don't learn from experience and repetition.
- krastanov 5y agoThe operators that calibrate them and pick parameters, do. And some machines have internal long-term calibration and feedback (no need to call it Machine Learning), so in a way they learn on their own too.
- zsmi 5y agoObviously you're correct about that, but those productivity gains from those sources are unlikely to be accurately predicted by Wright's Law, which is what this thread is about.
- simonh 5y agoIf you scale up production by just building more of the same machines that's right, but over time with new process nodes and increasing fab sizes there are plenty of opportunities to apply new skills to improve automation and scale effects.
- vlovich123 5y agoI thought it was a more general principle and applies almost any task. For example, the software written today is done at a larger volume and more cheaply than at any other point in history and can do more things than ever before (heck printing “hello world” or adding 2 numbers was a feat on the original machines). My understanding is that it’s a general phenomenon. The more we do something, the faster we get at it (either as a species or individuals), the more tools we accumulate to help us smoothie out any bumps, tackle larger projects more efficiently, etc.
- Nokinside 5y agoThat's general principle called increasing returns to scale and decreasing marginal cost.