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That's fair and I understand that. My point, is we have trouble even suggesting causation. We have one event (industrialization) and one suspected effect (warmi
by lettergram 5y ago
That's fair and I understand that. My point, is we have trouble even suggesting causation. We have one event (industrialization) and one suspected effect (warming temps). Without another time-series of data for comparison we don't know what the natural state of the world even is given the margin of error (we're only talking 1-2 degrees C).
We don't have the full dataset so effectively we're seeing two lines go up at the same time and claiming one is causing the other.
We can't even really make a correlation case, besides to say these two time series loosely correlate.
Put another way, we suspect one event causes another, which are tracked via a time series. Normally, when you're discussing causality you'd looking for multiple instances of said event causing another. We don't have that. Hence, we're effectively shooting in the dark.