3 ms·
The weather is a dynamic, non-stationary system, that is hard to predict. Climate works on 30 year cycles. There is some stuff we are uncertain about: Californi
by zamalek 5y ago
The weather is a dynamic, non-stationary system, that is hard to predict. Climate works on 30 year cycles. There is some stuff we are uncertain about: Californian wildfires as one example: are they natural, are they manmade (for climate or forestry reasons), or a combination. We'll know for sure in maybe 60 years. For the very significant vast majority, we know for an absolute and utter fact.
https://www.livescience.com/siberian-wildfire-smoke-reaches-north-pole.html https://www.livescience.com/siberian-wildfire-smoke-reaches-...
- cryptoegorophy 5y agoThere are cycles within cycles as well. history of sea ice in the arctic https://www.geo.umass.edu/faculty/jbg/Pubs/Polyak%20etal%20seaice%20QSR10%20inpress.pdf https://www.geo.umass.edu/faculty/jbg/Pubs/Polyak%20etal%20s...
- adamrezich 5y ago> Climate works on 30 year cycles. without having any standing at all in the field, I can't imagine that such a simple, reductive statement could possibly be generally true about something as physically massive and chaotic and infinitely, fractally complex as the planet's climate.
- zamalek 5y agohttps://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/noaa-n/climate/climate_weather.html https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/noaa-n/climate/climate_we...
- adamrezich 5y agothere's a huge difference between "Some scientists define climate as the average weather for a particular region and time period, usually taken over 30-years" and "climate works on 30 year cycles"
- zamalek 5y agoYou are correct. Even with my flawed (sleep deprived) wording, the same conclusion exists: climate is an average, it is not weather My argument stands.