4 ms·
> do we have any idea about how long Nuclear power will last, If we produce lets say, 50 percent of all our energy needs from it ? This is hard to estimate pre
by karaterobot 5y ago
> do we have any idea about how long Nuclear power will last, If we produce lets say, 50 percent of all our energy needs from it ?
This is hard to estimate precisely, since we don't know how much uranium is yet to be discovered. At the low-end, using current estimates for mineable Uranium, and today's light water reactors, about 460 years. At the high end, using newer breeder reactors and extracting uranium from seawater, as much as 240,000 years. Using a reasonable estimate for mineable uranium, and newer breeder reactors, about 120,000 years.
Let's be conservative and say "at least a few thousand years".
Personally, I'd say if we can't get off Earth and find some new fuel sources in a few thousand years, we deserve whatever happens. And frankly, if it takes us more than 200 years to get useful fusion reactors, something has probably gone wrong, and we're back to burning wood in caves anyway.
Here's a source: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-long-will-global-uranium-deposits-last/ https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-long-will-glo...
- runarberg 5y agoA follow up question: If $800 Billion investment in solar will provide USA with iŧs current energy needs, why bother with the slower and more polluting process of building nuclear reactors and mine for uranium at all? The sun will keep shining 10.000 years from now, there is no need to move of the planet to find new fuel sources if we just keep letting the sun shine on us.
- fsh 5y agoYour source directly contradicts the "460 years" figure. There they estimate a 230-year supply at today's consumption rate. Nuclear energy currently supplies 4.0% of the global primary energy production [1]. According to that estimate, producing 50% of the primary energy using currently available reactors would exhaust the world Uranium supply in around 18 years. [1] https://ourworldindata.org/energy-mix https://ourworldindata.org/energy-mix