3 ms·
For me the 'science' and covid related issue comes down to the major point of risk perception. In the early days, there were videos of people collapsing on the
by 650 5y ago
For me the 'science' and covid related issue comes down to the major point of risk perception. In the early days, there were videos of people collapsing on the streets in Wuhan, and the disease was thought to be extremely deadly with a CFR of 10%+(1). As the months went by we realized its not really dangerous at all to kids, with death and hospitalization rates extremely tilted towards the elderly and obese.
The main insight I have is that say we found out COVID or one of its variants had a 30%+ death/hospitalization rate as the months went on. I firmly believe more people would get vaccinated due to the obvious severity of it. This current ~1% IFR is at a point such that some think its not deadly enough to warrant the hypocritical restrictions and mandates, and some believe that it is.
Lets say on the other hand that as the months went by, we discovered COVID had a 0.000001% IFR. 1 out of a hundred million people that caught it died. [assume long COVID does not exist]. We could see that ~50-100 people would die worldwide. I think most people would call you foolish if given this IFR, had you been calling for continued mass restrictions.
We are at an inflection point such that we have vaccines, we have mandates, we have restrictions, yet some clamour it isn't enough, while others clamour its too much. These all are based around the perceived deadliness, not the true deadliness of COVID.
(1) - I don't recall the exact number