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I don't think anyone actually believes this number. Think about what your life would be like if you literally believe the end of the world is coming in 7 years.
by bko 5y ago
I don't think anyone actually believes this number. Think about what your life would be like if you literally believe the end of the world is coming in 7 years. I certainly wouldn't have kids. And if I were trying to change the world, I certainly wouldn't be focusing on Western countries who have had their emissions going down in absolute terms for the last few decades. I would focus on China who is the largest contributor to CO2 and is the fastest growing contributor. But dunking on the Chinese government isn't as satisfying as blaming the west.
Sure it might not be fair that China would never be able to enjoy the luxuries of the US, but we're talking about the literal end of the world. So lets focus on the place where we can make the most impact.
And to those that will reply that it's all actually driven by western countries outsourcing dirty production to poor countries, if you look at the trade adjusted CO2 emissions (excludes production for trade purposes), you'll see that consumption based emissions are still ~90% of China's CO2 ( see China: Consumption-based accounting: how do emissions compare when we adjust for trade?)
[0] https://www.ucsusa.org/resources/each-countrys-share-co2-emissions https://www.ucsusa.org/resources/each-countrys-share-co2-emi...
[1] https://ourworldindata.org/co2/country/china https://ourworldindata.org/co2/country/china
- fishtoaster 5y agoIt sound like[0] This is not saying the world end in 7 years, nor is it even exactly saying something weaker like "the world will end in 50 years, but we have 7 years to prevent it." Rather, it's saying we have 7 years (at current emission levels) before we're over a 60% chance of eventually warming by 1.5˚C, which will probably have high-impact, potentially devastating effects. [0] https://climateclock.world/science#deadline https://climateclock.world/science#deadline
- bko 5y agoIt may be true, but its also true that such claims are always being made with a 5-10 year time-span, so people are weary: > In 1989, a senior U.N. environmental official said, “Entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000.” https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/nations-vanish-global-warming/ https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/nations-vanish-global-warm...