> hardly any 1-4 year olds have died Yes. The risk of this is pretty miniscule I think. > Of course, there's "long covid" and all the sort of long tail risks

> hardly any 1-4 year olds have died Yes. The risk of this is pretty miniscule I think. > Of course, there's "long covid" and all the sort of long tail risks and concerns, but intuitively it feels like if the disease is not that deadly and dangerous when you're that young, there'd also be less risk of all these other side effects we're seeing, which tend to correlate, as far as I can tell, with how severe the disease was for the person in the first place. Not so much. I'm in a facebook group for long covid sufferers (and anyone who is interested), and there are quite a few people saying their children are suffering from long covid symptoms (less severe in absolute terms compared to adults due to higher baseline energy in children, but still significantly affecting their lives). I've heard +10% of people are getting long covid, and that it doesn't correlate strongly with the severity of the disease. Overall I think it is a little tricky to judge with kids. One thing I would add that you may not have considered is that being vaccinated doesn't necessarily preclude gaining natural immunity in future.