The "reduce likelihoods" would need real numbers to determine if the R value would be below 1 and thus fizzle. Hand waving doesn't show this and I feel it's un

The "reduce likelihoods" would need real numbers to determine if the R value would be below 1 and thus fizzle. Hand waving doesn't show this and I feel it's unlikely given the amount vaccinated infection observed. We didn't know everything we do now, but near as I can tell herd immunity was never a realistic possibility. It was with for the foreseeable future as soon as it went multinational and became a management rather then elimination task.