2 ms·
You massively overestimate 1) how much capital would flow into a bitcoin etf and 2) how large that would be relative to the rest of the US (or global) equity sp
by qeternity 5y ago
You massively overestimate 1) how much capital would flow into a bitcoin etf and 2) how large that would be relative to the rest of the US (or global) equity space.
Bitcoin has a trillion dollar “market cap”. That’s about 4% of the US equity market cap. In reality bitcoin’s market cap is nonsense, the real float is much smaller, and the real market is much much smaller.
$GBTC has $35B aum, and that is mostly due to the massive bull market in the last 18 months (thanks to Tether). The amount of hard cash that has flowed in is a small fraction of that, perhaps something like $7B (and since done 5x in performance).
But $GBTC is OTC and so not everyone can invest, and a vanilla ETF would likely garner more interest. How much more I don’t know. But $NKLA was a $30B fraud at its peak and yet in terms of market health, it was hardly a blip on the radar.