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The only way to make profit on bitcoin is to make someone else poorer by that amount. That's what makes it a ponzi - anything with this property that pretends t
by nootropicat 5y ago
The only way to make profit on bitcoin is to make someone else poorer by that amount. That's what makes it a ponzi - anything with this property that pretends to be an investment is one. Implementation details are irrelevant.
>Goods and services provided by humans have no intrinsic value but become precious simply there being demand by other humans.
Nonsense that's easy to disprove: try to stop eating food and start 'valuing' dirt as food. You will, of course, starve to death. Why? Because actual value is objective and exists regardless of what people think.
Intrinsic value objectively exists, but in most cases can only be estimated, correctly or not. It depends both on location and time coordinates.
Civilizations that estimate objective value too incorrectly collapse or get conquered. Those that estimate it correctly enough prosper.
The long term metric for any civilization is fortunately clear enough - energy use, also called the Kardashev's scale. It's a long term metric because foolish civilizations can waste energy in the short term (eg. by mining bitcoin) - but because it's wasted it results in less available energy in the future.
In cases like bitcoin there are no unknowns - it objectively has negative value and destroys wealth. It's backed by nothing and generates no income.
Don't get me wrong - I'm not saying don't play in crypto.
Never in history was it so easy to get rich by extracting wealth from others - which is what bitcoin and 99% of crypto in general is for. Is it a scam to promote it? My personal definition is pretty simple: it's a scam when promotion involves lies. Telling people bitcoin has value, while being a developer (thus smart enough to know it's worthless)? Scammer. Telling people it may go up in price (because other people may buy it)? Not a lie.
China was smart to ban crypto - they're too big to hope to profit at the expense of the west, and in fact most coins and tokens are held by Westerners, virtually guaranteeing it would end up as wealth transfer from China.
Crypto tokens can have real value - if they monetize efficiency increase in the real world. A smart contract economy is a possibility and it can exist - but right now it's all in the proof of concept stage. Without the ponzi factor I think eth should be valued between $1B-$10B (based on future potential, not current income), other smart contract platforms collectively at 20% of it, some defi tokens like MKR in the upper 8 figures - lower 9 figures. Everything else - worthless.
- rnotaro 5y ago> The only way to make profit on bitcoin is to make someone else poorer by that amount. That's what makes it a ponzi - anything with this property that pretends to be an investment is one. Implementation details are irrelevant. I'm really far from an expert in economics so I could be wrong but ain't that how the stock market works for non-dividends stocks?
- lalaland1125 5y agoStock buybacks and M&A function similarly to dividends in that they return money to shareholders from corporate profits. You don't need to distribute dividends to give money back to shareholders.
- miracle2k 5y agoI agree with your definition of a scam, however: > Telling people bitcoin has value, while being a developer (thus smart enough to know it's worthless)? Scammer. There is little about being a programmer that qualifies you to declare Bitcoin a scam, or not a sacm. There is a set of programmers opposed to cryptocurrency that believes that their background qualifies them uniquely - that is hubris. People don't need to understand any code to understand that Bitcoin is a spreadsheet.
- nootropicat 5y agoNon-programmers can be easily bamboozled by marketing: for example they may sincerely believe bitcoin stores energy in some magical way. For a dev there's no such excuse - they know for a fact bitcoin isn't backed by anything and all energy used for mining is irrevocably gone, and that no mechanism exists for bitcoin holders to earn transaction fees (because miners are a separate entity). There's no escape from knowledge that bitcoin is a negative sum game - which means claiming it's anything but a new version of a ponzi is a deliberate lie.