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-(if YouGov can't even conduct a survey professionally, then we can stop wasting time discussing this, and ignore everything from them) Exactly! Since they mes

-(if YouGov can't even conduct a survey professionally, then we can stop wasting time discussing this, and ignore everything from them) Exactly! Since they messed up with Brexit and Trump i have been confidently ignoring every single poll that's emerged. I wonder what it would look like if our politicians did the same. It seems that the current government can only ever react to things.

FatalLogic 5y ago
>Since they [YouGov] messed up with Brexit and Trump i have been confidently ignoring every single poll that's emerged. Please look at the last 4 YouGov polls in the week before the Brexit vote[0]. Two show a very slim majority for Leave, and two had a very slim majority for Remain. In the event, a very slim majority voted for Leave. Those polls were remarkably accurate for such a small sample size, and well within a reasonable margin of error (2-4 percentage points in that case). You're confidently choosing to ignore useful data because you will only accept perfect data. But that doesn't exist. [0] https://ig.ft.com/sites/brexit-polling/ https://ig.ft.com/sites/brexit-polling/