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Taking a look at Syukuro Manabe on Google scholar, one will find that his most cited work is decades old. They could have given him the prize years ago or years
by dna_polymerase 5y ago
Taking a look at Syukuro Manabe on Google scholar, one will find that his most cited work is decades old. They could have given him the prize years ago or years from now. Climate change being the biggest topic currently certainly was a contributing factor to the decision.
- eganist 5y agoManabe's work was predictive. It's only in recent years when we've started seeing those predictions come true. Less "politics" and more "hey his models were right."
- _fizz_buzz_ 5y agoThat is often the case with the Nobel prize though. Higg's most cited paper was also many decades old before he got the Nobel prize.
- fenomas 5y agoThat's how the scientific Nobel prizes work. The average delay between discovery and award for recent Physics prizes is over 25 years, and gaps of 40+ years are not uncommon.
- photochemsyn 5y agoThe point your comment makes is one I imagine you have not grasped - the basic science of climate and CO2 was figured out by the late 1970s. Everything else since has been fine-tuning. For example, if you go back to the early 1950s this was not well known, and you had theories about how variations in the tides controlled climate and so on. P.S. Exxon scientists knew in 1978 that the science was accurate, and yet their executives spent millions of dollars for decades lying about it - and are still at it.