1. The data I scrape could be enough to check this theory out. Currently the site calculates a 'all time' accuracy and 'last year' accuracy, it would be fairly

1. The data I scrape could be enough to check this theory out. Currently the site calculates a 'all time' accuracy and 'last year' accuracy, it would be fairly simple to also add an accuracy for 1 year back, 2 years back, etc. When I have time, I'll give that a try. 2. I once knew of a website that did just this - it displayed the radar image for the village that the creator lived in, and used some really simple linear motion estimation to predict rain in the next hour. I believe it had pretty good accuracy, but unfortunately I can't find that site any more, sorry.