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> So if 0% of those 65+ in one state have their vaccination compared to 100% in another state You can prove anything if the antecedent is false and I am not in
by nanis 5y ago
> So if 0% of those 65+ in one state have their vaccination compared to 100% in another state
You can prove anything if the antecedent is false and I am not interested in bogus arguments.
1. Mortality from COVID19 (y) is strongly associated with age (z).
2. Voting Republican/Trump (x) is strongly associated with age (z).
3. Therefore, one cannot simply look at the association between x and y without controlling for z.
This is what I spent decades trying to teach in Intro Stats and Econometrics. Ignoring a confounding variable because it is a convenient way to score a political point is in line with propaganda, not a quest for honest inquiry.
- pupppet 5y agoYou are arguing that a vaccinated 80 year old can be compared to an unvaccinated 80 year old. A 80 year old Republican is less likely to get the vaccination. It's pretty simple.
- nanis 5y agoI am afraid I cannot continue to discuss in good faith because you are making up stuff I did not say. For the record, the whole point of the substack post is that the NYT article did not do anything close to comparing a vaccinated 80-year olds in a Blue states to unvaccinated 80-year olds in Red states. In fact, the article makes no attempt to control for age at all. No, the article assumes there is only one possible factor that might determine whether someone might die from COVID19 ... "Is that person one of us or one of them?" Alrighty then.