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Most of these students have learnt statistics and importance of random stratified sampling. Unfortunately they are not using them in real life to get feedback o
by wanderingmind 5y ago
Most of these students have learnt statistics and importance of random stratified sampling. Unfortunately they are not using them in real life to get feedback on an event so important that you might spend a good part of decade of your career on it.
That said, personally I think doing a PhD is one of the worst things a person can do them financially long term. I think gambling is one of the few that ranks higher than PhD. They lose the most critical part of life they must be earning and saving to harness the power of compounding to become financially secure. On top, they learn no marketable skills that can get them a job out in industry or corporations.
Not teaching economics in school and colleges to all students is partially to blame as many undergrads believe just doing a PhD with minimum wages can make them happy. But when commitments increase and when they realize academic jobs are very few they become disillusioned and desperate.
- picture 5y agoCan you go a bit more in depth on why PhD is a bad idea? Is it any different for the different fields/disciplines, and what if one already has some money from parents?
- wanderingmind 5y agoExcept CS, or if you an international Olympiad champion, PhD is a bad idea across the board. Even if someone thinks they want to do a PhD, its better to work for a few years to understand market forces so they can do a thesis that is not fully removed from reality. This medium blog post from economist is a worthy read https://medium.economist.com/why-doing-a-phd-is-often-a-waste-of-time-349206f9addb https://medium.economist.com/why-doing-a-phd-is-often-a-wast...
- urthor 5y agoKeep in mind that the system is also slightly different overseas. In many non-European, non American countries, a PhD is three years after your undergraduate (with honors year, 4 year undergraduate instead of the normal three). Very different equation.
- deleted 5y ago[deleted]
- analog31 5y agoThe most familiar argument is that the years spent earning a PhD carry an opportunity cost, compared to getting out into the workforce sooner, earning money, developing skills on the job, and building a career. Of course, the comparison is laden with assumptions about both career paths. I believe there is an even bigger issue, that is not quantified or discussed, which is that PhD programs have extremely high attrition. Things can go wrong, which result in either having to quit or start over. Your advisor could lose finding, change jobs, or die. You could get sick. I know two people who got into serious ethical disagreements with their advisor. One had to lawyer up. At least when you read stories about jobs from hell in industry, you know that the person can at least walk away with the money that they already earned. The non-PhD career path involves assumptions too. Having marketable skills, getting a lucrative job, moving up in the ranks, and putting money away, are all hypotheticals with their own survivor bias issues. Disclosure: Physics PhD.
- tsbischof 5y agoIt depends on your relationship to work, relative to your outside life. The PhD in a good institution is essentially semi-supervised playing, where you are given access to resources and people to come up with and answer interesting questions. The probability of the utility and monetary value of the knowledge varies across fields significantly, and so the main point is to learn how to learn and how to identify and answer questions. This style of PhD is a lifestyle choice and a vow of "poverty". For context, at a school like MIT or Berkeley a typical fully-funded stipend is about $30k USD annually (gross), which you will make until you finish (at age 27-30, depending on when you start). Once you run through the cost of living in the area, you start to see that some compromises must be made to your quality of life. If you have independent money these compromises are less necessary, but if you are not careful it can alienate you from peers, in the same way that having money generally means you live in a different world than others. If your goal in a career is to make enough money or have enough stability to support your actual life (family, community, hobbies, etc), doing a PhD is not a particularly reliable path. Having one opens doors in life, but you have to value that over the alternative for the decision to make sense. (I have a chemistry PhD)
- jltsiren 5y agoThat describes how things work at American universities. The worst part is not even the pay but the idea that people doing PhD are students instead of professionals. (Some places even talk about postdoctoral students.) Your experience can be very different in countries that see junior researchers as professionals. You get a solid middle-class salary, and while you earn less than your friends who went to the industry, your life is not qualitatively different from them. Some travel extensively during their PhD, while others have kids and buy a home. The opportunity cost for doing a PhD is much lower in the latter system.
- PeterisP 5y agoI traveled much more during my PhD than in an industry job before it, simply because the funding for conferences (if I had publishable research) in far-away places was more accessible than vacation money+vacation time during the industry job. Like, a conference isn't a vacation, but I did visit a bunch of beautiful places (e.g. Japan and Iceland) that I likely would not have seen otherwise.
- dnautics 5y ago> Unfortunately they are not using them in real life You don't suppose that's because the N on "get the type of professorship you want" is too low to draw reasonable statistical inferences? > Not teaching economics I took undergrad econ, it didn't keep me from making stupid decisions, especially if those stupid decisions are rational, e.g. "I'm willing to roll the dice on a high beta event". The problem is not a lack of rationality; it's that the system is actively irrational, and it is in the interest of continuation of the scientific industrial complex to continue to lie to grad students about the nature of scientific promotion. If they knew the truth they would quit doing good science, or quit science.
- jackcosgrove 5y agoI'm not sure if I would call the system actively irrational. It's extremely well-measured, as scientists are good at measuring things. The academic job market is hyper-efficient and gets close to a Pareto distribution very quickly. I agree that economics programs don't do a good enough job teaching about the implications of systems which distribute outcomes according to a Pareto distribution (which are many).
- dnautics 5y agoHyper efficient for what? I can tell you it does not select for good researchers. It selects for people who are able to play politics. There are a lot of nonrational things that go into politics, for example the color of your skin (e.g. good luck getting an academic position if you're asian! Or if you're ugly), Just random shit like "who your boss was. Is your boss gonna write a letter of recommendation for you", or timing. I had a grad student friend who worked for prof who was very good at placing his students in academic positions, but oops the prof had twins during his second year and the grad student got absolutely fucked for mentorship at a critical time.
- dfdz 5y ago> personally I think doing a PhD is one of the worst things a person can do them financially long term. Obviously this true… in particular, anyone getting a PhD in a quantitative field could make more money in tech or finance. You seem to misunderstand why people pursue a PhD. At some level there has to be love of learning and pursuit of knowledge. Getting job in academia is difficult but not impossible…
- wanderingmind 5y agoEveryone starts a PhD with love for knowledge, the trouble is to sustain that love if your bowel is hungry, your clothes are old and torn and you are unable to give your kids a decent accomodation. People under-estimate how bad is the PhD/postdoc pay and how long they need to sustain it. They are better off with a Masters and having a good career and then spending spare time on pursuing knowledge.
- jleyank 5y agoLots of phd are hired by industry. 3-5 years for the degree and 0-2 years post-doc’ing and you’re set for low-mid 6 figure income. Yeah, you’ll have to move from time to time, but people need “new discoveries”. And as a point of reference, getting a significant drug to market 3 months early is worth billions. People who can do that are gold. And sometimes, you save people’s lives. The people who’ve been working in the mRNA fields did ok. Successful tech CEO’s might have more money but Nobel laureates are, just maybe, more useful.
- pedrosorio 5y ago> Successful tech CEO’s might have more money but Nobel laureates While we're at it, let's get kids thinking about how valuable it would be to win a gold medal in the Olympics when deciding if they should make sports the #1 priority in their life/career.
- varjag 5y agoYou ain't getting a Nobel in CS no matter how good you are.
- bertr4nd 5y agoWhile it may be true that many PhDs are not a financially good decision, I think the answer is not necessarily so clear cut for a computer science PhD. I didn’t have any sort of foot in the door at FAANG level companies before my PhD (ask me about my 3x rejections from Microsoft!), but I was able to parlay my CS PhD into such a job, and the earning potential there is profoundly higher than would be found elsewhere. Enough, even, to offset 6 years of lost earning potential. Obviously this is just my experience, and those talented undergrads who can ace a Google interview are likely better off just taking it, but it’s not like the PhD was a vow of poverty.
- wanderingmind 5y agoCS PhD is the outlier and not the norm. Most fields even in STEM its impossible to get a high paying job in the field of your thesis.
- jleyank 5y agoIn chemistry at least, the PhD is the entry card for non-technician work. Post-docs are seemingly required for the academic path, and are of some use for pharma, but the union card is a must.
- barry-cotter 5y agoThis seems more like a reason to avoid Chemistry than to get a PhD.
- andrewl 5y agoHere are a couple of relevant quotes from Freeman Dyson (who did not have a PhD): “Well, I think it actually is very destructive. I'm now retired, but when I was a professor here [Institute for Advanced Study in Princeton], my real job was to be a psychiatric nurse. There were all these young people who came to the institute, and my job was to be there so they could cry on my shoulder and tell me what a hard time they were having. And it was a very tough situation for these young people. They come here. They have one or two years and they're supposed to do something brilliant. They're under terrible pressure — not from us, but from them. So, actually, I've had three of them who I would say were just casualties who I'm responsible for. One of them killed himself, and two of them ended up in mental institutions. And I should've been able to take care of them, but I didn't. I blame the Ph.D. system for these tragedies. And it really does destroy people. If they weren't under that kind of pressure, they could all have been happy people doing useful stuff. Anyhow, so that's my diatribe. But I really have seen that happen."
- andrewl 5y agoHere’s more from Freeman Dyson: I’m very proud of not having a Ph.D. I think the Ph.D. system is an abomination. It was invented as a system for educating German professors in the 19th century, and it works well under those conditions. It’s good for a very small number of people who are going to spend their lives being professors. But it has become now a kind of union card that you have to have in order to have a job, whether it’s being a professor or other things, and it’s quite inappropriate for that. It forces people to waste years and years of their lives sort of pretending to do research for which they’re not at all well-suited. In the end, they have this piece of paper which says they’re qualified, but it really doesn’t mean anything. The Ph.D. takes far too long and discourages women from becoming scientists, which I consider a great tragedy. So I have opposed it all my life without any success at all. And also, of course, it wastes a tremendous amount of time — especially for women, it’s particularly badly timed. If they’re doing a Ph.D., they have a conflict between raising a family or finishing the degree, which is just at the worst time — between the ages of 25 to 30 or whatever it is. It ruins the five years of their lives. And I see the difference in the business world. My daughter happens to be a businesswoman, so I meet a lot of her young friends. The life there is so much easier for women. They start a company when they’re 20; they go bust when they’re 22. [Laughs] Meanwhile, they have a kid, and nobody condemns them for going bust. If you’re in the business world, that’s what’s expected: You should go bust and then start again on something else. So it’s a much more relaxed kind of a culture. It’s also competitive, but not in such a vicious way. I think the academic world is actually much more destructive of young people. [The Ph.D. system] was designed for a job in academics. And it works really well if you really want to be an academic, and the system actually works quite well. So for people who have the gift and like to go spend their lives as scholars, it’s fine. But the trouble is that it’s become a kind of a meal ticket — you can’t get a job if you don’t have a Ph.D. So all sorts of people go into it who are quite unsuited to it. [...] Anyway, so, I’m happy that I’ve raised six kids, and not one of them is a Ph.D.
- coliveira 5y ago> doing a PhD is one of the worst things a person can do them financially long term This is a borderline absurd statement. There are so many other bad things that people can do with their time. Even a PdD in the most strange topic will give you the opportunity to learn things that you can use later, even if it is just to become a high school teacher. It beats a lot of other things, including doing nothing.
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- XorNot 5y agoSure. It's just monetarily this is a terrible decision compared to picking up basic tech skills, taking literally any job in tech that you can for experience, and then job hopping.
- fooker 5y agoThere are several assumptions here. Here are a few I can immediately think of. * You are smart enough to keep doing this. * You do not get burnt out, more chances of that with boring work. * Your job does not get effectively automated.
- jltsiren 5y ago> They lose the most critical part of life they must be earning and saving to harness the power of compounding to become financially secure. That probably tells more about your country than about doing a PhD. In where I came from, financial security was something you had by default if you had some social capital, useful skills, determination, and a degree. You had to be particularly unlucky to lose it after that. Financial security only became a relevant concern after I moved to the US.
- asdff 5y agoIt depends on what you are doing in your phd. Biotech $$$ jobs expect a phd. If you take up some code and do some statistics over your phd thats usually enough to walk into a lot of lucrative data analytics jobs in a number of fields. there are a lot more jobs in industry that demand a phd than in academia these days. the old narrative that phds go on to become professors is pretty antiquated, only a fraction don't go into industry these days.
- OJFord 5y ago> the old narrative that phds go on to become professors is pretty antiquated, only a fraction don't go into industry these days. Isn't that because there aren't enough spots in academia? I'm under the impression most PhDs want to stay in academia (or perhaps adjacent true R&D departments) but there aren't as many positions. For a change over time in that regard I'd suggest: many more people are going to university, presumably at least proportionally many more PhDs, ratio of undergrads to PhD-holding staff roughly constant and <1, hence proportion of PhDs awarded that stay in academia goes down.
- asdff 5y agoMost people do not want to go into academia. It's a grind. It's hard to get a job, and you are going to be stressing about grants forever until you retire. Most people these days in grad school see all the bullshit their PI has to do for the department and say, "maybe I should get the hell out of academia, because this stress won't end and at this point I just want a 9-5 job." If you are interested in R&D, you are paid mountains more cash, like ~3x, going right into industry with your PhD than doing a post doc for 55k. The people still doing post docs are the massochists who want an academic life, or they need more qualifications that they didn't get in thier grad school training. PhDs are rarely unemployed.
- bitcoinmoney 5y agoDoing a fully funded PHD in the US is the best decision versus continuously living in a third world country. It’s a life changing moment.
- tantony 5y agoI would second this. Source: personal experience.
- BeetleB 5y ago> I think doing a PhD is one of the worst things a person can do them financially long term. I think gambling is one of the few that ranks higher than PhD. They lose the most critical part of life they must be earning and saving to harness the power of compounding to become financially secure. Financially, I don't disagree. The amusing thing is that I often would say the exact same thing on the other end of the coin. Going to industry right after your undergrad is one of the worst things one can do intellectually. People who want to grow intellectually[1] typically will grow more in their grad school years than most people will in their life. I can clearly see it when I look at my friends who did not opt for grad school. And even within a particular discipline, for a lot of disciplines, there is virtually no way you can attain that particular knowledge while having a full time job. Life gets busy. It ultimately comes down to values. Some prefer the money, others the knowledge. Personally, I appreciate the adage: Money comes and goes, but knowledge tends to remain with you. > On top, they learn no marketable skills that can get them a job out in industry or corporations. People who plan and aim properly for a career in academia probably pick up more marketable skills than the average industry employee. Self promotion and networking matters more in academia than in industry. There's also stuff like grant writing, public speaking, etc. [1] Not all people who pursue a PhD want to grow intellectually, but a significant portion do.
- brystarg 5y ago> Going to industry right after your undergrad is one of the worst things one can do intellectually What does this mean? Do you mean this as psychological maturity? Domain knowledge expertise?
- barry-cotter 5y agoExtremely few people outside academia are (1) world class at anything, even in a tiny subfield (2) advance the state of the art (3) can explain it in a way clear enough that you can reliably learn something from what they wrote about what they did and how they did it. That combination describes what a doctoral disserataion is.
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- zucker42 5y agoI have met few PhD students who made the choice to get a PhD based on money or a higher earning potential. It's seems odd to criticize the choice solely on that criterion.
- georgeburdell 5y ago>That said, personally I think doing a PhD is one of the worst things a person can do them financially long term. As a PhD (concentration in semiconductors) I agree with you. After a decade in the field, I'm trying to break into software engineering using knowledge I mostly gained in high school and undergrad (and studying in the evenings recently). Even down-leveling I can keep my compensation mostly flat, so essentially I lost 5 years of my career by pursuing a PhD. One could argue that I worked on more interesting problems, having a PhD, but over time I've realized companies will exploit your enthusiasm to either keep your pay low or work you for long hours. Consequently, I mostly care about money these days. Another downside of the PhD was how blind it made me to what was acceptable work. Now that I am highly-credentialed, I need to work in R&D, I thought. It took a long time to de-program. What helped was getting a more diverse set of friends, some of whom owned their own business in "boring" areas and had done quite well for themselves.
- bongoman37 5y agoThis depends a lot on the alternatives you have. For a lot of foreign PhDs, this may be easily be one of the best financial decisions. You get to move to first world country with education paid for and probably way better salary than you would be able to get in your home country. It is no surprise that PhD programs are mostly filled with non-Americans.
- aldanor 5y ago> I think doing a PhD is one of the worst things a person can do them financially long term Strongly disagree. Somewhat true only if you're doing phd just for the sake of completing it, without any particular plans on what you're going to be doing next, and how/why your degree will aid you in that (both from time-spent perspective and from financial perspective). Sometimes, pursuing a graduate degree is a great idea if you're looking for a specific type of job that requires it. Example: many quant roles in high-echelon trading firms require a phd in math / stats / cs. Depends on the uni / advisor / field / topic, but in my particular case (math/stat/quant-finance) completing the dissertation was fairly easy, all things considered. I had enough free time to travel, party, tour with a rock'n'roll band, record music, work in another country for over a year, and find myself a wife. Then defend the dissertation and immediately find a job in the field.