5 ms·
> The UK will rejoin at some point, especially because the younger generation will demand it, but it will have to take a decade, more likely two, unless Brexit
by JetSetWilly 5y ago
> The UK will rejoin at some point, especially because the younger generation will demand it, but it will have to take a decade, more likely two, unless Brexit proves to be an uncontroversial disaster and GB falls behind extremely. I wouldn't wish that on anybody.
It seems unlikely. I would say it is more likely that being outside the EU leads to more euroscepticism among the young. Perceiving the sharp end of EU incompetence - triggering article 16 without even informing Ireland - or malice, such as seizing vaccines and the whole propagandistic negative portrayal of the UK during the vaccine rollout in the EU - has already led many a former remainer to think that the EU is not the most fantastic of institutions.
It is certainly true that there are many in the EU keen to paint every minor event as some sort of disaster for the UK. They will gladly ignore the wider context of the pandemic, of driver shortages in the EU as well, of this being a purely manufactured demand-side panic buy "shortage" - to gleefully jump up and down shouting about the UK being self harming and it is all 100% brexit. It really comes across as deceitful propaganda I am afraid - and people take note and the EU loses its shine bit by bit.
- alistairSH 5y agoI wonder how that Euro-scepticism among the young breaks across the UK's internal borders? Scotland (62% remain) and NI (56% remain) didn't want Brexit. Will that sentiment hold over the next 5-10 years, or will they slowly follow England and Wales in being anti-EU (both ~53% leave)? I always thought the Brexit vote should have required a supermajority.
- tolien 5y agoThe related question is how long the UK will survive with an SNP/SNP-Green government in Scotland and customs restrictions at the NI-GB border. For the same reason that time make an EU re-entry more likely (pro-EU sentiment skews inversely with age), the likelihood there won’t be a UK to rejoin also goes up.