Given the national nature of the increase, it's unlikely that a local measure caused it, it's probably pandemic-times related. That being said obviously a long

Given the national nature of the increase, it's unlikely that a local measure caused it, it's probably pandemic-times related. That being said obviously a longer time scale is better for trend detection than a shorter one.... Oooor is it dundundun :D since if you pick too long a timescale then you get additional events muddying the causality, like aforementioned pandemic. That that that being said public policy changes are chaotic things that can have one effect in the short run a different one in the medium term etc. It's kinda meaningless to declare victory or defeat, as society's interaction with laws evolves over time.