5 ms·
In the lab we can vastly exceed natural mutation rates, rendering this appeal to nature baseless. The rate of evolution is a function of the mutation rate and
by inciampati 5y ago
In the lab we can vastly exceed natural mutation rates, rendering this appeal to nature baseless.
The rate of evolution is a function of the mutation rate and the effective population size. There is no reason to believe that a lab setting, with highly parallel evolution on a very large, diverse population, will be as slow as passage through hosts in nature. The application of mutagens, and also the lack of selection by a host immune system can support much higher rates of change. And in coronaviruses, recombination is also very frequent, and this could easily give rise to multiple % levels of divergence in a single step. Finally, it's trivial to synthesize a genome of this size, and also to synthesize pools of related viruses based on common backgrounds.