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Sorry, but epidemiologists have no ability to make these predictions. Epidemiologists generally work in the field of "who, when, and where" based on historical
by teh_klev 5y ago
Sorry, but epidemiologists have no ability to make these predictions. Epidemiologists generally work in the field of "who, when, and where" based on historical data evidence.
- leereeves 5y agoMathematical disease modelling is also part of epidemiology. You may have seen their work discussed in the press early in the COVID epidemic when they predicted the possible death count and the likely impact of various interventions.
- teh_klev 5y agoWell what were their predictions vs actual outcome?
- diatone 5y agoSpeaking from experience, last year we had an outbreak in Melbourne, Australia. The local government's response was guided by modelling from epidemiologists (and others), and went on to match the peak and length of the outbreak to the model's estimations almost down to the day[0]. [0]: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-10-29/coronavirus-melbourne-how-we-hit-our-target/12826692 https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-10-29/coronavirus-melbourne...
- runsWphotons 5y agoThey seem to be doing fairly well now, as well.