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If you want data on whether Autopilot is harmful or helpful, you could take a look at crash statistics for highway Autopilot-on miles vs highway miles of averag

If you want data on whether Autopilot is harmful or helpful, you could take a look at crash statistics for highway Autopilot-on miles vs highway miles of average vehicles. The Autopilot-on miles are much better than the American national average. Visual behavior pattern changes are a microbenchmark that may not even be measuring attention at all. Regardless, the pattern changes don't seem to increase crash risk as compared to not using Autopilot in any study that I'm aware of. If there is data supporting a claim that Autopilot actually increases crashes, I would be curious to see it. "A Tesla crashed on Autopilot once" is just an anecdote; humans crash cars constantly, and the question is whether Autopilot results in greater or fewer crashes.

romwell 5y ago
>If you want data on whether Autopilot is harmful or helpful, you could take a look at crash statistics for highway Autopilot-on miles vs highway miles of average vehicles. The Autopilot-on miles are much better than the American national average. Source please. Also a comparison with autopilot-off miles in Teslas would be necessary here to control for Tesla owners not being representative of average driver in the US. Poor young overworked mininum wage job drivers aren't driving Teslas. Nor is Tesla with autopilot off comparable to 1999 Honda Civic in terms of safety. More food for thought https://www.herrmanandherrman.com/blog/what-does-new-data-reveal-about-link-between-income-levels-and-car-accidents/ https://www.herrmanandherrman.com/blog/what-does-new-data-re...
- reissbaker 5y ago
  Tesla releases safety reports every quarter. In the most recent quarter, crash rate for Autopilot-on miles beat the national average by about 10x. Also a comparison with autopilot-off miles in Teslas would be necessary here to control for Tesla owners not being representative of average driver in the US. Luckily, they also release crash rates for Autopilot-off miles, as per your desire; Autopilot-on beats Autopilot-off by about 2x. Disabling all active safety features is of course even worse, losing to Autopilot by roughly 4x — although still beating the national average handily, since as you hypothesized, Tesla cars and drivers tend to not be similar to 1999 Honda cars and drivers. Quarter-by-quarter breakdowns: https://www.tesla.com/VehicleSafetyReport https://www.tesla.com/VehicleSafetyReport

romwell 5y ago

>If you want data on whether Autopilot is harmful or helpful, you could take a look at crash statistics for highway Autopilot-on miles vs highway miles of average vehicles. The Autopilot-on miles are much better than the American national average. Source please. Also a comparison with autopilot-off miles in Teslas would be necessary here to control for Tesla owners not being representative of average driver in the US. Poor young overworked mininum wage job drivers aren't driving Teslas. Nor is Tesla with autopilot off comparable to 1999 Honda Civic in terms of safety. More food for thought https://www.herrmanandherrman.com/blog/what-does-new-data-reveal-about-link-between-income-levels-and-car-accidents/ https://www.herrmanandherrman.com/blog/what-does-new-data-re...

reissbaker 5y ago
Tesla releases safety reports every quarter. In the most recent quarter, crash rate for Autopilot-on miles beat the national average by about 10x. Also a comparison with autopilot-off miles in Teslas would be necessary here to control for Tesla owners not being representative of average driver in the US. Luckily, they also release crash rates for Autopilot-off miles, as per your desire; Autopilot-on beats Autopilot-off by about 2x. Disabling all active safety features is of course even worse, losing to Autopilot by roughly 4x — although still beating the national average handily, since as you hypothesized, Tesla cars and drivers tend to not be similar to 1999 Honda cars and drivers. Quarter-by-quarter breakdowns: https://www.tesla.com/VehicleSafetyReport https://www.tesla.com/VehicleSafetyReport