Almost certainly the latter will "win" in the sense of getting widespread adoption. If current technologies are any indication, this will lead to people, like t

Almost certainly the latter will "win" in the sense of getting widespread adoption. If current technologies are any indication, this will lead to people, like the poster you're responding to and myself as well, who view proprietary control of such a device an unacceptable risk not adopting the technology until a FOSS alternative is made. If the device sees widespread adoption, this will probably happen several years later, and be mature enough to use about a decade later.