Indeed. To some extent, we can use pretty basic principles like the Law of Mass Action (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_mass_action https://en.wikipedia.or

Indeed. To some extent, we can use pretty basic principles like the Law of Mass Action (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_mass_action https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_mass_action "In chemistry, the law of mass action is the proposition that the rate of the chemical reaction is directly proportional to the product of the activities or concentrations of the reactants.") to inform our priors on this. We should expect the Moderna one to be both somewhat more effective and have somewhat worse side effects simply due to the higher dose and similar action.