8 ms·

Windows Phones Down 38% Since '7' Launch

48 points by pulsewave 15y ago

wrl 15y ago
I'm still keeping my fingers crossed that Nokia isn't betting the whole farm on WP7. They managed to drum up loads of interest in Meego with the N9 and I hope it's not the end of the line.
canistr 15y ago
The problem is that they haven't updated or made any splashes since the launch. Yes, the Mango update has been floating around but consumers are always asking "what have you done for me lately?"
mdda 15y ago
What always boggles my mind when I read this kind of article on an 'enterprisy' site is the comments. Many of them are extremely quick to defend Microsoft in the face of what they consider biased reporting. And J.Q.Public promises that MS will fix any problem mentioned. And that MS will come to dominate the field as soon as they chose to 'really turn on the pressure'. Personally, I can understand Apple fan-people (after all, it is kind of magical). And Linux fan-people (after all, the whole Freedom thing is kind of magical). But defending Microsoft (or Blackberry, to take another example)? To me, it seems like being a huge fan of Gap fashion (sorry, for the comparison, Gap). Or Con-Ed.
- CamperBob 15y ago
  Good chance the comments you're talking about are from paid shills. There are a lot of un(der)employed bloggers these days, and Microsoft has never been above such tactics.
  - recoiledsnake 15y ago
    Yes, a tech reporter of an enterprisy site doesn't know the difference between Windows Phone and Windows Mobile but still makes bold predelictions of disaster based on it and the commenters who point that out are paid shills. Got it.
    - CamperBob 15y ago
      Yes, a tech reporter of an enterprisy site doesn't know the difference between Windows Phone and Windows Mobile Whose fault is that?
- twidlit 15y ago
  There is always hope for Microsoft based on the following points. 1. Its early days for the smartphone market. 2. Nokia+Wp7 has a good chance of not flopping due to Nokia's reach, relationships and repeat customer base in countries outside of USA. 3. They have lots of cash 4. They've done this before (Xbox entered a fairly mature, very competitive market) 5. They have platforms they can leverage/integrate more (Xbox, IE, Windows 8, Facebook) 6. They haven't targeted the low end market yet. The mass market (people not like us) still views Microsoft and Nokia as good brands so in that aspect Apple and Google phones don't have the same brand equity that keeps them super loyal/rabid to like us geeks.
  - cageface 15y ago
    Its early days for the smartphone market. I'm not so sure about this. Customers and developers have significant investments in the existing app markets. Unless the mobile web catches up soon in terms of capabilities I think newcomers are going to have an increasingly hard time challenging the two incumbents.
    - kenjackson 15y ago
      I don't think so. Developers will go where the money. What's surprising to me is how many quality apps are showing up on WP today. If there was even a slight uptick in sales, I think they could match Android in app velocity. Today users have no allegiance to Android at all. I know a lot of people with Android phones and no one, not one, is like, "I'm sticking with Android for my next phone too." They're all, "Maybe Android. But probably iPhone or maybe WP". iPhone users though are pretty diehard. In part because its still just the best phone, IMO. But the lack Android allegiance is giving WP a window, no pun intended. Unless Android has some tricks up its sleeve for Ice Cream Sandwich, I think that WP can make serious inroads. Not 20% market share in a year, but climb back up to 10-12%.
      - pedalpete 15y ago
        I've noticed the same lack of allegiance to iPhones too (non-fanboys of course). As a WP7 users, I've often been asked about the phone, and heard comments like 'I could just get another iPhone, but I'm curious what the other phones are like'. I'm not seeing an iPhone devotion among many people that I would have expected.
- nextparadigms 15y ago
  When I saw the Simon Sinek video on leadership (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qp0HIF3SfI4 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qp0HIF3SfI4), it quickly clicked with me that the supporters of Apple are also people who above all want a quality product, that has beautiful design and is easy to use. Also, people who support Google believe in what Google believes - freedom, openness, personalization, and not getting overcharged and arm and a leg for the service they provide. But when I thought of Microsoft, I couldn't get neither a quick answer, nor a good one. What are Microsoft's beliefs? What is their mantra? Why do they exist? I couldn't really come up with an answer - except "making money". 15 years ago Microsoft's mantra was about putting a computer on every desk. They've pretty much accomplished that mission. But Microsoft doesn't inspire that in me right now - what they inspire and makes me think about them is that above else, they want to make money. Every company wants to make money, but we "believe" in the companies we love for different reasons, not because they want to make money. We love the companies that share our beliefs. What exactly are Microsoft's beliefs nowadays? To kill Google? Is that what makes whatever fans they have left to still love them? I don't think that's enough to win over a larger crowd in the future, as they start losing their monopoly on "computing machines", and all the negative sentiment they are gathering with the patents right now, will come back to haunt them later and create a negative halo around all their products. They're forgetting "Android users" could very well be customers of other products of theirs.
  - taway990 15y ago
    >Also, people who support Google believe in what Google believes - freedom, openness, personalization, and not getting overcharged and arm and a leg for the service they provide. Openness, unless of course you are talking about the one thing that brings them money, that is surprisingly not open...I am sure it is just a coincidence...ohhh, no wait, it is for the 'good' of the end user, I forgot. Luckily for them it happens to also work out perfectly since it is their dominant source of income. People's blind belief that Google's motivation is solely the good of the world is amazing, especially for people that claim they are objective.
    - sorbus 15y ago
      You want Google to open source their advertising framework?
- protomyth 15y ago
  Look at it from a Windows System Admin perspective. You want WP7 to be the phone OS because you are assured Microsoft will bring out tools for Windows 2008 to admin the phones. You can probably get another certification and you don't have to deal with Apple or Google. You can keep your full Windows stack and don't have to worry about something new. Blackberry was OK, but Apple and Google are not exactly a good thing.
  - mdda 15y ago
    But the enterprise-wide idea only works if "the powers that be" are ready to insist that all company phones are Windows too. Just a few iPads and iPhones here and there in the executive suite makes the Microsoft-must-be-everywhere argument look like an uphill battle.
    - protomyth 15y ago
      Yeah, I am not saying anything different. If Windows phone market share keeps dropping, then all of the old arguments that kept other desktop OSes out don't work in the smart phone game.
  - cageface 15y ago
    I think this kind of thinking is at the root of Microsoft's current problems. When they held 95% market share they could afford to be this insular but they just don't seem to know how to maneuver in a heterogenous world.
    - protomyth 15y ago
      I'm really not talking about Microsoft the company. I am pointing out a lot of people have their wagon hitched to Microsoft and make quite good livings in the current IT world.
- recoiledsnake 15y ago
  >But defending Microsoft (or Blackberry, to take another example)? To me, it seems like being a huge fan of Gap fashion (sorry, for the comparison, Gap). Or Con-Ed. The problem is that there are lot of technically inclined people who are either not knowledgeable about MS, or are already fans of Apple or Google or other non-MS tech like LAMP, RoR, etc. etc. For example, lets take the Metro UI in WP7: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f1sN2Q6ded8&feature=mfu_in_order&list=UL http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f1sN2Q6ded8&feature=mfu_i... (short ad) Longer articles, but with lots of pictures to glance through: http://www.riagenic.com/archives/487 http://www.riagenic.com/archives/487 http://www.riagenic.com/archives/493 http://www.riagenic.com/archives/493 Now lets see the iPhone UI elements http://www.mobileorchard.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/omnigraffle-iphone-ui-design.png http://www.mobileorchard.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/omni... Android UI elements http://smokingapples.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/android-user-interface.jpg http://smokingapples.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/android-... Which ones look like this from over 20 years ago? http://images.yourdictionary.com/images/computer/_PROGMAN.GIF http://images.yourdictionary.com/images/computer/_PROGMAN.GI... Who were you comparing to Gap again? If Metro were made by Apple or Google, people here would fawning all over. A Gruber article about how great and innovative Metro is, compared to all the regular UIs out there which all have UI chrome would get around 400 upvotes since it's a story about Apple disrupting the paradigm. The Windows 8 UI also seems to be ahead of the iPads'. But since it's MS here, we all like to hate on it on tech sites, regardless of actual merits. Was there even an article on HN about the Metro UI that got some traction? Gruber's article about the placement of a chair at a Jobs' keynote gets a few hundred upvotes though. While stuff like .NET, C#, ASP.NET, SQL Server may not get much traction here, they are quite good and work for a LOT of enterprises. Also, things XBox, Kinect, Windows 8 may not be magical but are still very cool to many many people out there, just not the HN/Slashdot crowd. As to the comments about biased reporting, what do you think will happen if a big Blackbery sales are down to 0.1%? The reporter made a very silly mistake. First of all, Windows Phones means those with WP7 which is completely different from Windows Mobile(which mostly sucked, btw). The author lumped both together and made a very big WTF stupid mistake and got called out for it. What's wrong with that? The real share of Windows Phone rose from 0 to about 1-2% in 9 months which is pretty respectable for a brand new platform in face of strong competition from Android/iPhone/BB. Nokia is getting on the bandwagon. The headline and the article made it look like WP7 was bleeding marketshare since launch which is okay with you since you don't like MS and so would like unquestioned FUD to be levied against it? The tag line of the article: "Microsoft’s smartphone platform may be irrelevant before Mango update and Nokia devices arrive."Not to mention the fake anti-Vista FUD that was lapped up on Slashdot, http://www.zdnet.com/blog/btl/why-we-dont-trust-devil-mountain-software-and-neither-should-you/31024 http://www.zdnet.com/blog/btl/why-we-dont-trust-devil-mounta... The problem with that is that the FUD then becomes mantra on tech sites, like the whole "DRM in Vista" FUD backlash. Now see how many commenters and readers here and on other sites take the headline at face value. You won't see much of that defending on HN because most MS fans have been driven out by the blind hate of MS on here and blind devotion to Google/Apple. You could clearly see the bias here when comment scores were displayed and it still happens with fanboy upvoting/downvoting/lack of voting.This article and your comment here is a good example of that attitude in practice. There will be a LOT of people reflexively upvoting the article since it's anti-MS but god forbid an article about the Metro UI gets on the front page. There is a big section of fanboys/haters and less real geeks on sites like this even though they pride themselves to be very objective. Nothing wrong with that per se, except that it's very imbalanced at this time against Microsoft, that's why you see what you see and need to realize that there's a whole world in tech outside of the HN news and comments feedback loop. Edit: Thanks for all the downvotes HN. Nothing better than to see your comment grayed out while the parent comment and the following comments are still going strong. http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2855328 http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2855328 I get it, I shouldn't be wasting time here on a saturday night. A walk outside instead would've served me better. Maybe paid shills are really required on such sites, it takes a thick skin to waste your time here Maybe should've started with 'I know I will be downvoted..." but then people don't like it because they think such comments are trolling for karma. If they only knew how much traction comments that are almost invisible and lower on the page get. This is like being a Democratic analyst on Fox News with all the anti-MS and pro-Apple/Google bias on here.
- halo 15y ago
  I often end up defending Microsoft (and, on occasion, RIM) simply because they often get a bad rap from people with an agenda and a lack of perspective. Microsoft are a hugely successful company with some great products, but you wouldn't realise that from reading sites like HN where the only stories posted are along the lines of "MS are doomed". A surprisingly large proportion of the tech press follow a similar editorial line. At the same time, you're drowning in a sea of overwhelmingly positive Google, Apple and open source coverage which often should be a bit more considered. As an extreme example, I will never understand the appeal of John Gruber.
  - cooldeal 15y ago
    >I will never understand the appeal of John Gruber. http://consumerist.com/2011/05/mri-shows-apple-stimulates-fans-brains-like-religion.html http://consumerist.com/2011/05/mri-shows-apple-stimulates-fa...
- njharman 15y ago
  Cognitive Dissonance explains most irrational support. Many (most in tech field) have staked their careers / life's work on MS. They aren't letting go of that easily.
csomar 15y ago
This is not quite accurate since the smartphone market is growing... fast. This means that Microsoft sales might have grown, but they still don't get up to the smartphone market growth. Android and iPhone began from 0% market-share and they climbed quick. There is room for another Operating System and may be more. Microsoft brings up something different. It's not as open as Android and not so closed like Apple (At least, you choose the device). It's too early to judge. Also Microsoft has lots of cash to advertise its' smartphone platform. That's something that not all of the competitors have.
- azakai 15y ago
  Microsoft has a hard road ahead. HP has arguably better software with WebOS, plus bucketloads of cash. And I wouldn't count RIM out either, even though they are losing market share and don't have any technological advantage.
- brudgers 15y ago
  I agree. It is also the case that Microsoft has been clearing the product pipeline of Windows Phone devices in favor of WP7. It's a huge re-engineering and repositioning of Microsoft's position in a highly competitive market and their approach appears to be strategic rather than tactical. Their target appears to be enterprise and they are marshaling the resources and partnerships to make a play over the long run into the space which RIM has occupied and which neither Apple nor Google are structured to dominate over the long term.
smilliken 15y ago
It must be disheartening to be losing market share after launching WP7. That said, these numbers are a bit deceiving for two reasons: 1) WP7 + Windows Mobile is probably still growing in absolute numbers, but just being outpaced by Android and iOS growth 2) These numbers only represent consumer devices, not business; from the comScore report: "Data on mobile phone usage refers to a respondent’s primary mobile phone and does not include data related to a respondent’s secondary device.". In particular, many people have iPhone's for personal use and a BlackBerry/Windows phone for business use. edit: formatting
- sjs 15y ago
  What people actually choose to buy is more interesting to me.
- azakai 15y ago
  > WP7 + Windows Mobile is probably still growing in absolute numbers, but just being outpaced by Android and iOS growth My guess is that it is shrinking, not growing. The only way to be sure would be to see sales numbers from Microsoft. The fact that Microsoft hides those numbers is telling.
  - nigelsampson 15y ago
    I suspect the overall decrease is because the growth of Windows Phone isn't as strong as the decline of Windows Mobile. Overall I think it would have been a good idea if Microsoft had done better in separating the brands. Right now its to confusing for the average user if reporters can't get it right.
  - sorbus 15y ago
    > The only way to be sure would be to see sales numbers from Microsoft. The fact that Microsoft hides those numbers is telling. Or we could look at the size of the market at times when we know the percentage of the market they have, which gives us absolute numbers, and then graph those over time.
    - 15y ago
MichaelGG 15y ago
If these numbers are for Windows Mobile as a whole, is this attributable to the old Windows Mobile finally getting tossed by people?
- Duff 15y ago
  It would have to be. The only people using Windows Mobile were masochist enterprise types who didn't like BlackBerry for whatever reason. Since WP7 doesn't or didn't support most of the features that matter to masochist enterprise types, Win Mobile is dying. No CIO or IT Director has the cojones to keep the users running Treo's and Motorola Q's. I'm pretty much responsible (at a management level) for an enterprise running over 5k devices, which we turnover completely every 18-24 months. Frankly, I don't even know the names of any WP7 phones -- our guys shipped them back to the carrier when some update bricked them. Maybe we'll look at them again next year. iPhones are a huge deal and easy to manage. Android isn't quite there yet, but will be. BlackBerry is BlackBerry... three's company, four (and five) is a crowd. WP7 and WebOS are the crowd.
wallflower 15y ago
I love the Metro UI, but the only time I have seen it was when a MSFT employee demoed it. Outside of TV commercials, I have not seen a single WP7 phone in the wild. Hopefully Nokia can make WP7 sexy and mainstream.
- emehrkay 15y ago
  It is very smooth. I remember a lot of touches having feedback through small vibrations. If it weren't for the browser, Id recommend it to people.
- technoslut 15y ago
  I wonder if the live tiles may confuse the average user. It may be that what people come to expect from a smartphone is the icon grid.
- icefox 15y ago
  Played with it for an while and while it seemed nice overall there wasn't any 'wow' and like someone else already said it is too bad they are stuck with being forced to use IE.
- wallflower 15y ago
  This may get buried but started a poll on smartphone platform usage: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2855717 http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2855717 Please vote!
- notJim 15y ago
  I caught a glimpse of one at a party the other day! Didn't get a chance to ask the guy how he liked it, unfortunately.
protomyth 15y ago
I do think WP7 would have had a better chance if it was also their tablet OS.
- cooldeal 15y ago
  The Metro UI is. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p92QfWOw88I http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p92QfWOw88I On Xbox too http://blogs.cio.com/operating-systems/16412/microsofts-gamble-metro-ui-new-face-windows http://blogs.cio.com/operating-systems/16412/microsofts-gamb...
- halo 15y ago
  You can bet that Microsoft's plan is to merge Windows Phone and Windows into a single codebase.
  - protomyth 15y ago
    That will be too little too late and too bloated. They needed the focus of WP7 in tablets and not the legacy.
    - halo 15y ago
      From what I believe, Windows 8 and Windows Phone 8 will be the same OS which runs the exact same apps, only with different UIs for different screen sizes/aspect ratios. Branding then becomes irrelevant: they are literally the exact same OS. No different to iOS for the iPhone and iPad, or Android running on phones and tablets. It doesn't have to mean bloat either, assuming Windows sufficiently is modular. Just don't include or load the Win32 subsystem. The ARM version doesn't have backwards compatibility anyway. Windows 8 should be out within the year, and given that it's an extension of the PC market it shouldn't be too late. If Microsoft can pull it off successfully, it should hugely improve their mobile prospects by allowing them to use their dominance of the desktop. Buying an application once and having it work on your phone, tablet and desktop (and potentially console) is an incredibly compelling selling point that would overcome WP7's current marketshare problem. It would also make it much easier for Microsoft to introduce features: do it once, and get it on every platforms for free. It's a very forward-looking idea.
deleted 15y ago
[deleted]

48 points by pulsewave 15y ago

wrl 15y ago

I'm still keeping my fingers crossed that Nokia isn't betting the whole farm on WP7. They managed to drum up loads of interest in Meego with the N9 and I hope it's not the end of the line.

canistr 15y ago

The problem is that they haven't updated or made any splashes since the launch. Yes, the Mango update has been floating around but consumers are always asking "what have you done for me lately?"

mdda 15y ago

What always boggles my mind when I read this kind of article on an 'enterprisy' site is the comments. Many of them are extremely quick to defend Microsoft in the face of what they consider biased reporting. And J.Q.Public promises that MS will fix any problem mentioned. And that MS will come to dominate the field as soon as they chose to 'really turn on the pressure'. Personally, I can understand Apple fan-people (after all, it is kind of magical). And Linux fan-people (after all, the whole Freedom thing is kind of magical). But defending Microsoft (or Blackberry, to take another example)? To me, it seems like being a huge fan of Gap fashion (sorry, for the comparison, Gap). Or Con-Ed.

CamperBob 15y ago
Good chance the comments you're talking about are from paid shills. There are a lot of un(der)employed bloggers these days, and Microsoft has never been above such tactics.
- recoiledsnake 15y ago
  Yes, a tech reporter of an enterprisy site doesn't know the difference between Windows Phone and Windows Mobile but still makes bold predelictions of disaster based on it and the commenters who point that out are paid shills. Got it.
  - CamperBob 15y ago
    Yes, a tech reporter of an enterprisy site doesn't know the difference between Windows Phone and Windows Mobile Whose fault is that?
twidlit 15y ago
There is always hope for Microsoft based on the following points. 1. Its early days for the smartphone market. 2. Nokia+Wp7 has a good chance of not flopping due to Nokia's reach, relationships and repeat customer base in countries outside of USA. 3. They have lots of cash 4. They've done this before (Xbox entered a fairly mature, very competitive market) 5. They have platforms they can leverage/integrate more (Xbox, IE, Windows 8, Facebook) 6. They haven't targeted the low end market yet. The mass market (people not like us) still views Microsoft and Nokia as good brands so in that aspect Apple and Google phones don't have the same brand equity that keeps them super loyal/rabid to like us geeks.
- cageface 15y ago
  Its early days for the smartphone market. I'm not so sure about this. Customers and developers have significant investments in the existing app markets. Unless the mobile web catches up soon in terms of capabilities I think newcomers are going to have an increasingly hard time challenging the two incumbents.
  - kenjackson 15y ago
    I don't think so. Developers will go where the money. What's surprising to me is how many quality apps are showing up on WP today. If there was even a slight uptick in sales, I think they could match Android in app velocity. Today users have no allegiance to Android at all. I know a lot of people with Android phones and no one, not one, is like, "I'm sticking with Android for my next phone too." They're all, "Maybe Android. But probably iPhone or maybe WP". iPhone users though are pretty diehard. In part because its still just the best phone, IMO. But the lack Android allegiance is giving WP a window, no pun intended. Unless Android has some tricks up its sleeve for Ice Cream Sandwich, I think that WP can make serious inroads. Not 20% market share in a year, but climb back up to 10-12%.
    - pedalpete 15y ago
      I've noticed the same lack of allegiance to iPhones too (non-fanboys of course). As a WP7 users, I've often been asked about the phone, and heard comments like 'I could just get another iPhone, but I'm curious what the other phones are like'. I'm not seeing an iPhone devotion among many people that I would have expected.
nextparadigms 15y ago
When I saw the Simon Sinek video on leadership (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qp0HIF3SfI4 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qp0HIF3SfI4), it quickly clicked with me that the supporters of Apple are also people who above all want a quality product, that has beautiful design and is easy to use. Also, people who support Google believe in what Google believes - freedom, openness, personalization, and not getting overcharged and arm and a leg for the service they provide. But when I thought of Microsoft, I couldn't get neither a quick answer, nor a good one. What are Microsoft's beliefs? What is their mantra? Why do they exist? I couldn't really come up with an answer - except "making money". 15 years ago Microsoft's mantra was about putting a computer on every desk. They've pretty much accomplished that mission. But Microsoft doesn't inspire that in me right now - what they inspire and makes me think about them is that above else, they want to make money. Every company wants to make money, but we "believe" in the companies we love for different reasons, not because they want to make money. We love the companies that share our beliefs. What exactly are Microsoft's beliefs nowadays? To kill Google? Is that what makes whatever fans they have left to still love them? I don't think that's enough to win over a larger crowd in the future, as they start losing their monopoly on "computing machines", and all the negative sentiment they are gathering with the patents right now, will come back to haunt them later and create a negative halo around all their products. They're forgetting "Android users" could very well be customers of other products of theirs.
- taway990 15y ago
  >Also, people who support Google believe in what Google believes - freedom, openness, personalization, and not getting overcharged and arm and a leg for the service they provide. Openness, unless of course you are talking about the one thing that brings them money, that is surprisingly not open...I am sure it is just a coincidence...ohhh, no wait, it is for the 'good' of the end user, I forgot. Luckily for them it happens to also work out perfectly since it is their dominant source of income. People's blind belief that Google's motivation is solely the good of the world is amazing, especially for people that claim they are objective.
  - sorbus 15y ago
    You want Google to open source their advertising framework?
protomyth 15y ago
Look at it from a Windows System Admin perspective. You want WP7 to be the phone OS because you are assured Microsoft will bring out tools for Windows 2008 to admin the phones. You can probably get another certification and you don't have to deal with Apple or Google. You can keep your full Windows stack and don't have to worry about something new. Blackberry was OK, but Apple and Google are not exactly a good thing.
- mdda 15y ago
  But the enterprise-wide idea only works if "the powers that be" are ready to insist that all company phones are Windows too. Just a few iPads and iPhones here and there in the executive suite makes the Microsoft-must-be-everywhere argument look like an uphill battle.
  - protomyth 15y ago
    Yeah, I am not saying anything different. If Windows phone market share keeps dropping, then all of the old arguments that kept other desktop OSes out don't work in the smart phone game.
- cageface 15y ago
  I think this kind of thinking is at the root of Microsoft's current problems. When they held 95% market share they could afford to be this insular but they just don't seem to know how to maneuver in a heterogenous world.
  - protomyth 15y ago
    I'm really not talking about Microsoft the company. I am pointing out a lot of people have their wagon hitched to Microsoft and make quite good livings in the current IT world.
recoiledsnake 15y ago
>But defending Microsoft (or Blackberry, to take another example)? To me, it seems like being a huge fan of Gap fashion (sorry, for the comparison, Gap). Or Con-Ed. The problem is that there are lot of technically inclined people who are either not knowledgeable about MS, or are already fans of Apple or Google or other non-MS tech like LAMP, RoR, etc. etc. For example, lets take the Metro UI in WP7: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f1sN2Q6ded8&feature=mfu_in_order&list=UL http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f1sN2Q6ded8&feature=mfu_i... (short ad) Longer articles, but with lots of pictures to glance through: http://www.riagenic.com/archives/487 http://www.riagenic.com/archives/487 http://www.riagenic.com/archives/493 http://www.riagenic.com/archives/493 Now lets see the iPhone UI elements http://www.mobileorchard.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/omnigraffle-iphone-ui-design.png http://www.mobileorchard.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/omni... Android UI elements http://smokingapples.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/android-user-interface.jpg http://smokingapples.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/android-... Which ones look like this from over 20 years ago? http://images.yourdictionary.com/images/computer/_PROGMAN.GIF http://images.yourdictionary.com/images/computer/_PROGMAN.GI... Who were you comparing to Gap again? If Metro were made by Apple or Google, people here would fawning all over. A Gruber article about how great and innovative Metro is, compared to all the regular UIs out there which all have UI chrome would get around 400 upvotes since it's a story about Apple disrupting the paradigm. The Windows 8 UI also seems to be ahead of the iPads'. But since it's MS here, we all like to hate on it on tech sites, regardless of actual merits. Was there even an article on HN about the Metro UI that got some traction? Gruber's article about the placement of a chair at a Jobs' keynote gets a few hundred upvotes though. While stuff like .NET, C#, ASP.NET, SQL Server may not get much traction here, they are quite good and work for a LOT of enterprises. Also, things XBox, Kinect, Windows 8 may not be magical but are still very cool to many many people out there, just not the HN/Slashdot crowd. As to the comments about biased reporting, what do you think will happen if a big Blackbery sales are down to 0.1%? The reporter made a very silly mistake. First of all, Windows Phones means those with WP7 which is completely different from Windows Mobile(which mostly sucked, btw). The author lumped both together and made a very big WTF stupid mistake and got called out for it. What's wrong with that? The real share of Windows Phone rose from 0 to about 1-2% in 9 months which is pretty respectable for a brand new platform in face of strong competition from Android/iPhone/BB. Nokia is getting on the bandwagon. The headline and the article made it look like WP7 was bleeding marketshare since launch which is okay with you since you don't like MS and so would like unquestioned FUD to be levied against it? The tag line of the article: "Microsoft’s smartphone platform may be irrelevant before Mango update and Nokia devices arrive."Not to mention the fake anti-Vista FUD that was lapped up on Slashdot, http://www.zdnet.com/blog/btl/why-we-dont-trust-devil-mountain-software-and-neither-should-you/31024 http://www.zdnet.com/blog/btl/why-we-dont-trust-devil-mounta... The problem with that is that the FUD then becomes mantra on tech sites, like the whole "DRM in Vista" FUD backlash. Now see how many commenters and readers here and on other sites take the headline at face value. You won't see much of that defending on HN because most MS fans have been driven out by the blind hate of MS on here and blind devotion to Google/Apple. You could clearly see the bias here when comment scores were displayed and it still happens with fanboy upvoting/downvoting/lack of voting.This article and your comment here is a good example of that attitude in practice. There will be a LOT of people reflexively upvoting the article since it's anti-MS but god forbid an article about the Metro UI gets on the front page. There is a big section of fanboys/haters and less real geeks on sites like this even though they pride themselves to be very objective. Nothing wrong with that per se, except that it's very imbalanced at this time against Microsoft, that's why you see what you see and need to realize that there's a whole world in tech outside of the HN news and comments feedback loop. Edit: Thanks for all the downvotes HN. Nothing better than to see your comment grayed out while the parent comment and the following comments are still going strong. http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2855328 http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2855328 I get it, I shouldn't be wasting time here on a saturday night. A walk outside instead would've served me better. Maybe paid shills are really required on such sites, it takes a thick skin to waste your time here Maybe should've started with 'I know I will be downvoted..." but then people don't like it because they think such comments are trolling for karma. If they only knew how much traction comments that are almost invisible and lower on the page get. This is like being a Democratic analyst on Fox News with all the anti-MS and pro-Apple/Google bias on here.
halo 15y ago
I often end up defending Microsoft (and, on occasion, RIM) simply because they often get a bad rap from people with an agenda and a lack of perspective. Microsoft are a hugely successful company with some great products, but you wouldn't realise that from reading sites like HN where the only stories posted are along the lines of "MS are doomed". A surprisingly large proportion of the tech press follow a similar editorial line. At the same time, you're drowning in a sea of overwhelmingly positive Google, Apple and open source coverage which often should be a bit more considered. As an extreme example, I will never understand the appeal of John Gruber.
- cooldeal 15y ago
  >I will never understand the appeal of John Gruber. http://consumerist.com/2011/05/mri-shows-apple-stimulates-fans-brains-like-religion.html http://consumerist.com/2011/05/mri-shows-apple-stimulates-fa...
njharman 15y ago
Cognitive Dissonance explains most irrational support. Many (most in tech field) have staked their careers / life's work on MS. They aren't letting go of that easily.

csomar 15y ago

This is not quite accurate since the smartphone market is growing... fast. This means that Microsoft sales might have grown, but they still don't get up to the smartphone market growth. Android and iPhone began from 0% market-share and they climbed quick. There is room for another Operating System and may be more. Microsoft brings up something different. It's not as open as Android and not so closed like Apple (At least, you choose the device). It's too early to judge. Also Microsoft has lots of cash to advertise its' smartphone platform. That's something that not all of the competitors have.

azakai 15y ago
Microsoft has a hard road ahead. HP has arguably better software with WebOS, plus bucketloads of cash. And I wouldn't count RIM out either, even though they are losing market share and don't have any technological advantage.
brudgers 15y ago
I agree. It is also the case that Microsoft has been clearing the product pipeline of Windows Phone devices in favor of WP7. It's a huge re-engineering and repositioning of Microsoft's position in a highly competitive market and their approach appears to be strategic rather than tactical. Their target appears to be enterprise and they are marshaling the resources and partnerships to make a play over the long run into the space which RIM has occupied and which neither Apple nor Google are structured to dominate over the long term.

smilliken 15y ago

It must be disheartening to be losing market share after launching WP7. That said, these numbers are a bit deceiving for two reasons: 1) WP7 + Windows Mobile is probably still growing in absolute numbers, but just being outpaced by Android and iOS growth 2) These numbers only represent consumer devices, not business; from the comScore report: "Data on mobile phone usage refers to a respondent’s primary mobile phone and does not include data related to a respondent’s secondary device.". In particular, many people have iPhone's for personal use and a BlackBerry/Windows phone for business use. edit: formatting

sjs 15y ago
What people actually choose to buy is more interesting to me.
azakai 15y ago
> WP7 + Windows Mobile is probably still growing in absolute numbers, but just being outpaced by Android and iOS growth My guess is that it is shrinking, not growing. The only way to be sure would be to see sales numbers from Microsoft. The fact that Microsoft hides those numbers is telling.
- nigelsampson 15y ago
  I suspect the overall decrease is because the growth of Windows Phone isn't as strong as the decline of Windows Mobile. Overall I think it would have been a good idea if Microsoft had done better in separating the brands. Right now its to confusing for the average user if reporters can't get it right.
- sorbus 15y ago
  > The only way to be sure would be to see sales numbers from Microsoft. The fact that Microsoft hides those numbers is telling. Or we could look at the size of the market at times when we know the percentage of the market they have, which gives us absolute numbers, and then graph those over time.
  - 15y ago

MichaelGG 15y ago

If these numbers are for Windows Mobile as a whole, is this attributable to the old Windows Mobile finally getting tossed by people?

Duff 15y ago
It would have to be. The only people using Windows Mobile were masochist enterprise types who didn't like BlackBerry for whatever reason. Since WP7 doesn't or didn't support most of the features that matter to masochist enterprise types, Win Mobile is dying. No CIO or IT Director has the cojones to keep the users running Treo's and Motorola Q's. I'm pretty much responsible (at a management level) for an enterprise running over 5k devices, which we turnover completely every 18-24 months. Frankly, I don't even know the names of any WP7 phones -- our guys shipped them back to the carrier when some update bricked them. Maybe we'll look at them again next year. iPhones are a huge deal and easy to manage. Android isn't quite there yet, but will be. BlackBerry is BlackBerry... three's company, four (and five) is a crowd. WP7 and WebOS are the crowd.

wallflower 15y ago

I love the Metro UI, but the only time I have seen it was when a MSFT employee demoed it. Outside of TV commercials, I have not seen a single WP7 phone in the wild. Hopefully Nokia can make WP7 sexy and mainstream.

emehrkay 15y ago
It is very smooth. I remember a lot of touches having feedback through small vibrations. If it weren't for the browser, Id recommend it to people.
technoslut 15y ago
I wonder if the live tiles may confuse the average user. It may be that what people come to expect from a smartphone is the icon grid.
icefox 15y ago
Played with it for an while and while it seemed nice overall there wasn't any 'wow' and like someone else already said it is too bad they are stuck with being forced to use IE.
wallflower 15y ago
This may get buried but started a poll on smartphone platform usage: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2855717 http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2855717 Please vote!
notJim 15y ago
I caught a glimpse of one at a party the other day! Didn't get a chance to ask the guy how he liked it, unfortunately.

protomyth 15y ago

I do think WP7 would have had a better chance if it was also their tablet OS.

cooldeal 15y ago
The Metro UI is. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p92QfWOw88I http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p92QfWOw88I On Xbox too http://blogs.cio.com/operating-systems/16412/microsofts-gamble-metro-ui-new-face-windows http://blogs.cio.com/operating-systems/16412/microsofts-gamb...
halo 15y ago
You can bet that Microsoft's plan is to merge Windows Phone and Windows into a single codebase.
- protomyth 15y ago
  That will be too little too late and too bloated. They needed the focus of WP7 in tablets and not the legacy.
  - halo 15y ago
    From what I believe, Windows 8 and Windows Phone 8 will be the same OS which runs the exact same apps, only with different UIs for different screen sizes/aspect ratios. Branding then becomes irrelevant: they are literally the exact same OS. No different to iOS for the iPhone and iPad, or Android running on phones and tablets. It doesn't have to mean bloat either, assuming Windows sufficiently is modular. Just don't include or load the Win32 subsystem. The ARM version doesn't have backwards compatibility anyway. Windows 8 should be out within the year, and given that it's an extension of the PC market it shouldn't be too late. If Microsoft can pull it off successfully, it should hugely improve their mobile prospects by allowing them to use their dominance of the desktop. Buying an application once and having it work on your phone, tablet and desktop (and potentially console) is an incredibly compelling selling point that would overcome WP7's current marketshare problem. It would also make it much easier for Microsoft to introduce features: do it once, and get it on every platforms for free. It's a very forward-looking idea.

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