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It wasn't retrospective. It was a prediction, available on the day of the election, and before. Basically, you are talking nonsense, rationalizing your priors.
by jonnycomputer 5y ago
It wasn't retrospective. It was a prediction, available on the day of the election, and before. Basically, you are talking nonsense, rationalizing your priors.
- bobbytit 5y agoIt is retrospective now. It is you who is talking nonsense.
- jonnycomputer 5y agoOh come on. Silver's polling averages, and his election predictions, were up a year before the election, and are still up for everyone to see. "Retrospective now" doesn't even make sense. Keeping up his model and his averages on the web isn't "memory holing" anything, it's being radically honest. You can still see his 2016 predictions too!
- bobbytit 5y agoSettle down. You are getting caught up on semantics. My sole point is that the average makes the appalling performance of the pollsters in recent years look not quite as bad. I wish I could use the good performance of others to make me look better too!