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Robin has been at this for over 15 years. Some reasons why he failed in the early years were that he used government money for uncomfortable bets about assassin
by arpinum 5y ago
Robin has been at this for over 15 years. Some reasons why he failed in the early years were that he used government money for uncomfortable bets about assassinations of US politicians.
- didibus 5y agoI just can't trust a social scientist personally telling me that something offers better predictions, because social science has lost my trust in it's methodology. I'd need to see a data scientist, mathematician or statistician arguing that it does for me to start considering it more. The good thing though is, he could simply setup a decision market to have people decide the true value of decision markets no?
- arpinum 5y agogood news, Robin wasn't always a social scientist, he has a background in physics and statistics
- Matticus_Rex 5y agoRobin happens to be something of a poster boy for criticizing social science methodology, as it happens.
- AlbertCory 5y agoYeah, that's one of the few markets where I'm with the alarmists. You definitely can move the market by assassinating someone.