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I don't think this is correct. Planet Money did a recent podcast on this very subject (Would A Downgrade Matter?)[1], and they concluded that a downgrade from A
by berberich 15y ago
I don't think this is correct. Planet Money did a recent podcast on this very subject (Would A Downgrade Matter?)[1], and they concluded that a downgrade from AAA to AA+ doesn't matter very much in the long run. Yes, it's somewhat embarrassing, and interest rates are likely to go up _slightly_, but that's about it.
The big leap is from "investment grade" securities to "junk bonds" ('BB'/'Ba' or less). We're still a long way from there.
[1]: http://www.npr.org/blogs/money/2011/07/28/138721364/ http://www.npr.org/blogs/money/2011/07/28/138721364/
- mdda 15y agoMaybe long-term the interest rates don't go up much. But the main impact is a huge rocking-the-boat in the banking system : one of the bedrock ideas has just changed. You wouldn't want to do this if the banking system were strong. Now is really not a good time...