I'm not super knowledgeable in this area, but one possibility is that the "9 of the 5" only gives the number of times that it predicted that there would be a re

I'm not super knowledgeable in this area, but one possibility is that the "9 of the 5" only gives the number of times that it predicted that there would be a recession. There could be many more times that it accurately predicted that there would not be a recession.