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These are almost pointless predictions. "[O]n a path towards near-zero" isn't quantifiable and therefore isn't definitively falsifiable. Someone from 20 years
by slg 5y ago
These are almost pointless predictions. "[O]n a path towards near-zero" isn't quantifiable and therefore isn't definitively falsifiable. Someone from 20 years ago would probably say today's AI costs are already "on the path to near zero." Plus the general predictions that AI and energy will be cheaper have been almost constant predictions for the better part of a century.
And I'll just say I am dubious on his prediction that those would be enough to get us to a post-scarcity world. Certain people today already live a post-scarcity lifestyle and they have shown an aversion to sharing that with the rest of us. I don't know why we should expect the benefits of this increased productivity would be shared rather than hoarded.
- shoto_io 5y agoYes. It reads "AI" ... "blah blah" ... "nuclear" ... "blah blah" ... "future" ... "blah blah"
- deleted 5y ago[deleted]