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~1% with good care was closer last time I checked. There was a good paper explaining differences between locations were mostly because of demographics and the t
by pedrocr 5y ago
~1% with good care was closer last time I checked. There was a good paper explaining differences between locations were mostly because of demographics and the total result was in that range. 0.4% is the rate of total NYC residents who have already died for example. So for that to be the IFR NYC would have had to have 100% infection of its population. Not impossible but seems unlikely.
Without good care, like when hospitals get overwhelmed by a wave, 3%+ was likely. But that heavily depends on the exact pressure and maybe we've gotten better at treating it anyway.
- dragonwriter 5y ago> So for that to be the IFR NYC would have had to have 100% infection of its population. Not impossible but seems unlikely. If NYC had 100% infection by the end of 2020, post-infection immunity is a lot worse than every study of that topic has suggested.
- a0-prw 5y agoThe IFR is not the same for every demographic. In a population which is obese and older it will be higher. More than half of adults in New York are overweight or obese (https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/health/health-topics/obesity.page https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/health/health-topics/obesity.p...) If you are obese and contract the virus you are 113% more likely to need hospitalisation and 48% more likely to die than normal weight or overweight people. https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2772071 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2772071
- rossdavidh 5y agoImportant to distinguish between the infection fatality rate, and the hospitalization fatality rate. People who never know they're infected, or know they're sick but don't bother getting a PCR test because they're just going to stay home and isolate regardless, don't show up in the hospitalization fatality rate.