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This seems like a poor model of population dynamics. Isn’t it possible that earlier deaths in the elderly population might act as an economic stimulus that incr
by dqpb 5y ago
This seems like a poor model of population dynamics. Isn’t it possible that earlier deaths in the elderly population might act as an economic stimulus that increases birth rate in the younger population? (So the net change in life years would not be 17bn).
Edit: I assume the downvotes are suggesting my logic is wrong. It would be helpful to hear why.
- MattRix 5y agoEven if that were true, it wouldn’t be a good thing.
- dqpb 5y agoI didn’t say it would be a good thing. I’m just questioning the math.
- dm319 5y ago> It would be helpful to hear why. Granny dying does not make me broody.
- dqpb 5y agoSo you’re arguing the decrease in average lifespan effects fecundity of the younger population. That might be true, but I wouldn’t bet on it.