3 ms·
> Recent research from the U.K. suggests that vaccinated people are about 50% less likely to develop long COVID than those who are unvaccinated. To me that doe
by y7 5y ago
> Recent research from the U.K. suggests that vaccinated people are about 50% less likely to develop long COVID than those who are unvaccinated.
To me that doesn't sound like that great of a risk reduction.
- bryanlarsen 5y agoThat's on top of the reduced risk of catching it in the first place. Estimates of that vary widely, let's use 1/6. So 1/12 risk of long COVID.
- mdp2021 5y agoHave you factored in the reduced chance of symptomatic disease? That comes before long COVID. With (two months after) vs without = ~0.2 vs 0.05×0.5×0.2 = ~20% vs ~0.5% (Explanation: chance of symptomatic disease 2 months after reported as 5% vs "control"; chance of long COVID after symptomatic infection reported as 2.3% as bare minimum, 13% to other research and 40% to a large interpretation.) Edit: to the three British studies of 2.3%, 13% and 40%, after this thread I can add 25% from a post from user tfehring, including link to article: «something like a quarter of people with symptomatic COVID seem to have some kind of cognitive symptom (mainly “brain fog” and/or short-term memory loss) 8 months later». I will update the tentative value for the chance of long COVID, but the ratio, half of one twentieth, does not change.