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i agree with at least the part about people being able to basically rationalize anything (myself included), and the willingness of institutions (say, the US gov
by readonthegoapp 5y ago
i agree with at least the part about people being able to basically rationalize anything (myself included), and the willingness of institutions (say, the US government during the Turkish Missile Crisis -- aka the Cuban Missile Crisis) to risk blowing up the world just to save face (fortunately JFK eventually backed down).
in the case of GAI, i think it's relatively low on the totem pole of 'things that will probably end advanced human civilization on earth for at least the next several thousand years'.
if we were divvying up the top causes among the 100% pie of likelihood of ending us, it'd probably be:
climate 97%
nukes 2%
gai 1%
i think some small parts of advanced civilization might continue through the worst of climate collapse - mass death, starvation, war, migration, etc. - with climate catastrophes acting as a de facto carbon tax on human life/industry.
but most people in the world are trying make their rent for next month, pay their bills, feed their kids, etc. -- not worrying about the polar bears, rising sea levels, etc.
it's almost like we need a new type of economy...
- wnkrshm 5y agoThere are interactions between the first two. If the climate puts too much pressure on societies, people will become more accepting of waging war - thus maybe triggering the nuke option before the climate problem has had any chance to do all the damage.