> unless you count that his CPU was a neural net processor [btw, James Cameron or whoever saw that coming in 1991] Neural nets had been around for almost 50 ye

> unless you count that his CPU was a neural net processor [btw, James Cameron or whoever saw that coming in 1991] Neural nets had been around for almost 50 years [0] by then so it wasn't really that much of an insight as one might think. Other than that, I definitely agree with most of your opinion here, it's just really hard to predict the timeframe for something like this. Considering the advances we've made in just the last 100 years in comparison with the previous thousands of years, it's very possible that some breakthrough in either computing science or neuroscience or a few other disciplines will trigger an explosion of new advances in this area. At the same time it's also very possible that we'll take many hundreds of years or more until we can fully understand what intelligence and consciousness really is or how it emerges. As far as I know, the jury's still out on whether consciousness is even a requirement for intelligence or vice-versa. What I don't fully agree is that we're at 0% on the way there. The fact that we've now been able to make computers learn by example and become much better than humans at certain activities is in itself a huge advance. Will it be the basis for a future hypothetical AGI? Maybe or maybe not, but it's an important step and lesson that we'll eventually use (or discard) towards that goal. [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_artificial_neural_networks https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_artificial_neural_n...