Here's a hilariously strange link for this discussion-- BABip explained, with Groupon ads plastered about. http://www.fenwaywest.com/2011-articles/june/saberme

Here's a hilariously strange link for this discussion-- BABip explained, with Groupon ads plastered about. http://www.fenwaywest.com/2011-articles/june/sabermetrics-explained-babip.html http://www.fenwaywest.com/2011-articles/june/sabermetrics-ex... This part gets off topic but since we're talking SABERMETRICS!!... I'm not that great of a statistician and truthfully just pay attention to this stuff for fantasy baseball, but I always find that BABip isn't the greatest for hitters, and as great as the data is (for anyone interested fangraphs is a great resource) interpreting this data can be troubling--I mean at the end of the 2008 season people thought Dunn's BABip was an indicator that he'd just fell apart--but he did turn that around for 2 seasons... and I think that was merely a product of him going from the NLwest to the NLeast(do you think the NLeast has that good of collective fielders)--and then to the ALC where he'd square off against more often than not a top tiered defensive team where he's now struggling. I guess my question with BABip how do you interpret luck with decreasing skill level? I've looked at that quite closely trying to look for correlations with age etc, and I can never find anything that shows me that BABip for interpreting upcoming season potential is anything but a crapshoot.